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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,249,259 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$936,249,259 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,560,115 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,131,697 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,845,767 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,663,980 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,469,699 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,874,803 Vol.

4%

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Jon Stewart

$9,850,884 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,145,677 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,571,574 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,665,608 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,980,318 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,553,358 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,487,004 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,211,275 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,153,821 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,385,529 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,170,063 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,137,289 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,799,139 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,237,086 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,684,962 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,703,459 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,926,270 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,058,665 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,982,024 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,368,306 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,395,570 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,658,453 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,301,729 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,178,365 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,839,834 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,309,108 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,525,286 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,182,320 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,358,107 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,653,261 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,458,605 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,994,015 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,391,981 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,408,423 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,370,491 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,508,793 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,650,666 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,447,219 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, bolstered by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him ahead of Kamala Harris by 14 points in their home-state primary, alongside his national visibility from prior anti-Trump efforts and recent book tour signaling ambitions. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% draws progressive base support amid youth polling strength, but faces pushback from centrist groups like Third Way mobilizing in South Carolina against left-wing firebrands. Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects swing-state Georgia victories and Obama-like appeal, differentiating him as electable moderate. Harris at 4% lags post-2024 despite national polls showing her ahead, with a fragmented field awaiting 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising hauls, and early-state endorsements to consolidate support.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, bolstered by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him ahead of Kamala Harris by 14 points in their home-state primary, alongside his national visibility from prior anti-Trump efforts and recent book tour signaling ambitions. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% draws progressive base support amid youth polling strength, but faces pushback from centrist groups like Third Way mobilizing in South Carolina against left-wing firebrands. Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects swing-state Georgia victories and Obama-like appeal, differentiating him as electable moderate. Harris at 4% lags post-2024 despite national polls showing her ahead, with a fragmented field awaiting 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising hauls, and early-state endorsements to consolidate support.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, bolstered by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him ahead of Kamala Harris by 14 points in their home-state primary, alongside his national visibility from prior anti-Trump efforts and recent book tour signaling ambitions. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% draws progressive base support amid youth polling strength, but faces pushback from centrist groups like Third Way mobilizing in South Carolina against left-wing firebrands. Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects swing-state Georgia victories and Obama-like appeal, differentiating him as electable moderate. Harris at 4% lags post-2024 despite national polls showing her ahead, with a fragmented field awaiting 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising hauls, and early-state endorsements to consolidate support.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, bolstered by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him ahead of Kamala Harris by 14 points in their home-state primary, alongside his national visibility from prior anti-Trump efforts and recent book tour signaling ambitions. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% draws progressive base support amid youth polling strength, but faces pushback from centrist groups like Third Way mobilizing in South Carolina against left-wing firebrands. Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects swing-state Georgia victories and Obama-like appeal, differentiating him as electable moderate. Harris at 4% lags post-2024 despite national polls showing her ahead, with a fragmented field awaiting 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising hauls, and early-state endorsements to consolidate support.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $936.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.