Colombia Presidential Election

Name: Colombia Presidential Election
Start: 2025-07-29T17:32:52.057619Z
End: 2026-06-21T14:00:00Z

$2,223,341 Vol.

Jun 21, 2026

Abelardo de la Espriella 40%

Iván Cepeda Castro 37%

Paloma Valencia 13.9%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) 5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Abelardo de la Espriella
$100,205 Vol.
40%

Iván Cepeda Castro
$68,291 Vol.
37%

Paloma Valencia
$40,781 Vol.
14%

Sergio Fajardo (DC)
$53,865 Vol.
5%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
$30,688 Vol.
3%

Roy Barreras
$40,397 Vol.
1%

Vicky Dávila (IND)
$49,566 Vol.
<1%

Claudia López (IND)
$64,430 Vol.
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
$75,286 Vol.
<1%

David Luna Sánchez (IND)
$68,383 Vol.
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)
$57,957 Vol.
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)
$56,485 Vol.
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
$1,301,415 Vol.
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)
$75,727 Vol.
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)
$47,380 Vol.
<1%

Daniel Quintero
$23,829 Vol.
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
$44,040 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Created At: Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Volume

$2,223,341

End Date

Jun 21, 2026

Created At

Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$2,223,341 Vol.

Jun 21, 2026

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella 40%

Iván Cepeda Castro 37%

Paloma Valencia 13.9%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) 5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Abelardo de la Espriella

$100,205 Vol.

40%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$68,291 Vol.

37%

Paloma Valencia

$40,781 Vol.

14%

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$53,865 Vol.

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$30,688 Vol.

Roy Barreras

$40,397 Vol.

Vicky Dávila (IND)

$49,566 Vol.

<1%

Claudia López (IND)

$64,430 Vol.

<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$75,286 Vol.

<1%

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

$68,383 Vol.

<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$57,957 Vol.

<1%

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

$56,485 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas

$1,301,415 Vol.

<1%

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

$75,727 Vol.

<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

$47,380 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Quintero

$23,829 Vol.

<1%

Enrique Peñalosa

$44,040 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$2,223,341

End Date

Jun 21, 2026

Created At

Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

47%

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

14%

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

56%

Beware of external links.

Colombia Presidential Election