Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands polling averages around 33%, more than double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 21% and Moderate Party (M) at 17%, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for the largest share in Sweden's proportional representation system ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. Recent Ipsos and Demoskop surveys through late March confirm unusually stable voter sentiment, with S holding steady at 31-33% despite minor fluctuations among smaller parties like the Left (V) and Greens (MP). The Liberals' March 13 agreement to potentially include SD in a Tidö coalition government sought to unify the right bloc, but polls show no decisive shift, sustaining trader consensus on S's path to plurality while noting risks from late-campaign dynamics or turnout in battleground voter groups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 89%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 5.5%
Moderate Party (M) 4.5%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$998,317 Vol.
$998,317 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
89%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
6%
Moderate Party (M)
4%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 89%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 5.5%
Moderate Party (M) 4.5%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$998,317 Vol.
$998,317 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$26,000 Vol.
89%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$500,643 Vol.
6%
Moderate Party (M)
$372,893 Vol.
4%
Green Party (MP)
$86,725 Vol.
<1%
Left Party (V)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Centre Party (C)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$12,056 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands polling averages around 33%, more than double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 21% and Moderate Party (M) at 17%, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for the largest share in Sweden's proportional representation system ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. Recent Ipsos and Demoskop surveys through late March confirm unusually stable voter sentiment, with S holding steady at 31-33% despite minor fluctuations among smaller parties like the Left (V) and Greens (MP). The Liberals' March 13 agreement to potentially include SD in a Tidö coalition government sought to unify the right bloc, but polls show no decisive shift, sustaining trader consensus on S's path to plurality while noting risks from late-campaign dynamics or turnout in battleground voter groups.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$998,317End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands polling averages around 33%, more than double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 21% and Moderate Party (M) at 17%, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for the largest share in Sweden's proportional representation system ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. Recent Ipsos and Demoskop surveys through late March confirm unusually stable voter sentiment, with S holding steady at 31-33% despite minor fluctuations among smaller parties like the Left (V) and Greens (MP). The Liberals' March 13 agreement to potentially include SD in a Tidö coalition government sought to unify the right bloc, but polls show no decisive shift, sustaining trader consensus on S's path to plurality while noting risks from late-campaign dynamics or turnout in battleground voter groups.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$998,317End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands polling averages around 33%, more than double the Sweden Democrats (SD) at 21% and Moderate Party (M) at 17%, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for the largest share in Sweden's proportional representation system ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. Recent Ipsos and Demoskop surveys through late March confirm unusually stable voter sentiment, with S holding steady at 31-33% despite minor fluctuations among smaller parties like the Left (V) and Greens (MP). The Liberals' March 13 agreement to potentially include SD in a Tidö coalition government sought to unify the right bloc, but polls show no decisive shift, sustaining trader consensus on S's path to plurality while noting risks from late-campaign dynamics or turnout in battleground voter groups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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