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Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 100.0%

André Pestana (IND) <1%

Manuela Magno (IND) <1%

António José Seguro (IND) <1%

Polymarket

$141,393 Vol.

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 100.0%

André Pestana (IND) <1%

Manuela Magno (IND) <1%

António José Seguro (IND) <1%

Polymarket

$141,393 Vol.

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,582 Vol.

No

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$431 Vol.

No

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António José Seguro (IND)

$14,567 Vol.

No

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$598 Vol.

No

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$48,932 Vol.

Yes

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Manuel João Vieira

$390 Vol.

No

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André Ventura (CH)

$20,242 Vol.

No

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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$25,317 Vol.

No

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$280 Vol.

No

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$280 Vol.

No

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$461 Vol.

No

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Humberto Correia

$429 Vol.

No

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$461 Vol.

No

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$723 Vol.

No

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$598 Vol.

No

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$598 Vol.

No

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$598 Vol.

No

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$1,686 Vol.

No

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$326 Vol.

No

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$598 Vol.

No

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$19,187 Vol.

No

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António Filipe (PCP)

$2,477 Vol.

No

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Jorge Pinto

$431 Vol.

No

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$205 Vol.

No

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the third-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$141,393
End Date
Jan 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 14, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the third-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)" at 100%, followed by "André Pestana (IND)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place" has generated $141.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place" is "João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "André Pestana (IND)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.