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World·Armenia

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Market icon
World·Armenia

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Civil Contract 83%

Armenia Alliance 13%

Bright Armenia 3.6%

I Have Honor Alliance 1.7%

Polymarket

$44,467 Vol.

Civil Contract 83%

Armenia Alliance 13%

Bright Armenia 3.6%

I Have Honor Alliance 1.7%

Polymarket

$44,467 Vol.

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Civil Contract

$38,348 Vol.

83%

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Armenia Alliance

$4,208 Vol.

13%

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Bright Armenia

$1,911 Vol.

4%

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I Have Honor Alliance

$0 Vol.

2%

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Armenian National Congress

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Prosperous Armenia

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Hanrapetutyun Party

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Orinats Yerkir

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Heritage

$0 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Incumbent Civil Contract leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under proportional representation, driven by opinion polls showing 24-50% support including Breavis (50% in February) and EVN Report (26% through late February), far ahead of fragmented opposition alliances. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's March 26 warning of a potential "disastrous war" without his party's constitutional majority has intensified the peace-versus-instability narrative, rallying support amid Azerbaijan tensions. Armenia Alliance trails at 13% per market pricing, aligning with polls at 9-19%, while Bright Armenia sits at 3.6% reflecting lower single-digit showings; undecided voters and turnout remain pivotal ahead of the vote.

Incumbent Civil Contract leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under proportional representation, driven by opinion polls showing 24-50% support including Breavis (50% in February) and EVN Report (26% through late February), far ahead of fragmented opposition alliances. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's March 26 warning of a potential "disastrous war" without his party's constitutional majority has intensified the peace-versus-instability narrative, rallying support amid Azerbaijan tensions. Armenia Alliance trails at 13% per market pricing, aligning with polls at 9-19%, while Bright Armenia sits at 3.6% reflecting lower single-digit showings; undecided voters and turnout remain pivotal ahead of the vote.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Incumbent Civil Contract leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under proportional representation, driven by opinion polls showing 24-50% support including Breavis (50% in February) and EVN Report (26% through late February), far ahead of fragmented opposition alliances. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's March 26 warning of a potential "disastrous war" without his party's constitutional majority has intensified the peace-versus-instability narrative, rallying support amid Azerbaijan tensions. Armenia Alliance trails at 13% per market pricing, aligning with polls at 9-19%, while Bright Armenia sits at 3.6% reflecting lower single-digit showings; undecided voters and turnout remain pivotal ahead of the vote.

Incumbent Civil Contract leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under proportional representation, driven by opinion polls showing 24-50% support including Breavis (50% in February) and EVN Report (26% through late February), far ahead of fragmented opposition alliances. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's March 26 warning of a potential "disastrous war" without his party's constitutional majority has intensified the peace-versus-instability narrative, rallying support amid Azerbaijan tensions. Armenia Alliance trails at 13% per market pricing, aligning with polls at 9-19%, while Bright Armenia sits at 3.6% reflecting lower single-digit showings; undecided voters and turnout remain pivotal ahead of the vote.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Civil Contract" at 83%, followed by "Armenia Alliance" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" has generated $44.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" is "Civil Contract" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Armenia Alliance" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.