Trump won, now what?


Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
21%chance
1%

Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.3%

Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
31%chance
3.6%

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
92%chance
4%

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0%

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
32%chance
3%

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
3%chance
1.6%

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
2%chance
0.4%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
21%chance
2.5%

Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0%

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
99%chance
0.4%

NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
1%chance
1.8%

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
6%chance
0.1%

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
1%chance
2.3%

Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0.1%

Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
4%chance
1.9%

Trump out as President in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%

Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
96%chance
1.4%

Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1%chance
0.8%

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%

Trump announce run for 3rd term?
1%chance
0.3%

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
0%chance
0.2%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%

Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%

Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0%

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
28%chance
1%

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2%chance
0.8%

Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
21%chance
1%

Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.3%

Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
31%chance
3.6%

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
92%chance
4%

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0%

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
32%chance
3%

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
3%chance
1.6%

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
2%chance
0.4%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
21%chance
2.5%

Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0%

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
99%chance
0.4%

NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
1%chance
1.8%

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
6%chance
0.1%

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
1%chance
2.3%

Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0.1%

Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
4%chance
1.9%

Trump out as President in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%

Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
96%chance
1.4%

Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1%chance
0.8%

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%

Trump announce run for 3rd term?
1%chance
0.3%

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
0%chance
0.2%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%

Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%

Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0%

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
28%chance
1%

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2%chance
0.8%

Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
