Trump won, now what?
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
22%chance
2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
89%chance
2%
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
6%chance
4.8%
Trump out as President in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
22%chance
1%
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
2%chance
0.7%
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
3%chance
0.5%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
3%chance
0.9%
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
28%chance
1.1%
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
3%chance
0.1%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
3%chance
0%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
2%chance
1%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
99%chance
0.4%
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
0%chance
0.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
97%chance
1%
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0%
Will DOGE confirm Gold missing from Fort Knox?
0%chance
0.3%
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
1%chance
0.1%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
28%chance
1.5%
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
22%chance
2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
89%chance
2%
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
6%chance
4.8%
Trump out as President in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
22%chance
1%
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
2%chance
0.7%
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
3%chance
0.5%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
3%chance
0.9%
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
28%chance
1.1%
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
3%chance
0.1%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
3%chance
0%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
2%chance
1%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
99%chance
0.4%
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
0%chance
0.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
97%chance
1%
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0%
Will DOGE confirm Gold missing from Fort Knox?
0%chance
0.3%
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
1%chance
0.1%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
28%chance
1.5%
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
