DASHBOARDS

Trump won, now what?

Trump and crew

Promises & policies

What do the first few months in office look like?

Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
22%chance
1.5%
Oprah Winfrey
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
30%chance
25.9%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
95%chance
1%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
3%chance
0.6%
<$100b
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
30%chance
2.2%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
3%chance
0.1%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
3%chance
0.3%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
20%chance
1.5%
J.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
0%chance
0%
China
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
December 31, 2025
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
96%chance
0.3%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.3%
<250k
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1%chance
0.1%
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
Australia
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
1%chance
0.3%
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
3%chance
2.5%
<40.0%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
2%chance
1.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
0%chance
0.4%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
1%chance
0.7%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
2%chance
0.3%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
28%chance
0.5%
Mike Waltz
Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
0%chance
0%
David Malpass
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1%chance
0.7%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
22%chance
1.5%
Oprah Winfrey
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
30%chance
25.9%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
95%chance
1%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
3%chance
0.6%
<$100b
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
30%chance
2.2%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
3%chance
0.1%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
3%chance
0.3%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
20%chance
1.5%
J.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
0%chance
0%
China
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
December 31, 2025
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
96%chance
0.3%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.3%
<250k
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1%chance
0.1%
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
Australia
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
1%chance
0.3%
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
3%chance
2.5%
<40.0%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
2%chance
1.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
0%chance
0.4%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
1%chance
0.7%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
2%chance
0.3%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
28%chance
0.5%
Mike Waltz
Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
0%chance
0%
David Malpass
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1%chance
0.7%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
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What else is in store for the Trump presidency?

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