Trump won, now what?

Trump and crew

Promises & policies

What do the first few months in office look like?

Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
19%chance
3%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
93%chance
4%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Oprah Winfrey
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
3%chance
4.3%
<$100b
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
31%chance
2.9%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
2%chance
0.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
21%chance
0%
David Malpass
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0.1%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
2%chance
0.3%
<40.0%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
2%chance
0.2%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2%chance
1.3%
Trump out as President in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
4%chance
0.8%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
96%chance
0.9%
December 31, 2025
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
1%chance
0%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.2%
J.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
<250k
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
3%chance
2.1%
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
1%chance
0.4%
card image
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
0%chance
0.2%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
1%chance
0.8%
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?
6%chance
10.5%
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
1%chance
0.9%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
1%chance
2.7%
Mike Waltz
Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
19%chance
3%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
93%chance
4%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Oprah Winfrey
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
3%chance
4.3%
<$100b
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
31%chance
2.9%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
2%chance
0.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
21%chance
0%
David Malpass
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0.1%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
2%chance
0.3%
<40.0%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
2%chance
0.2%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2%chance
1.3%
Trump out as President in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
4%chance
0.8%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
96%chance
0.9%
December 31, 2025
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
1%chance
0%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.2%
J.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
<250k
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
3%chance
2.1%
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
1%chance
0.4%
card image
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
0%chance
0.2%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
1%chance
0.8%
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?
6%chance
10.5%
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
1%chance
0.9%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
1%chance
2.7%
Mike Waltz
Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
0%chance
0%