Trump won, now what?
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
18%chance
7.5%
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
88%chance
11.5%
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
18%chance
9.2%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
5%chance
2%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
1.5%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
4%chance
1.2%
Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
1%chance
0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
23%chance
2%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.4%
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
2%chance
0.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
3%chance
0.3%
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
5%chance
0.5%
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
0%chance
0.6%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
6%chance
0.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
96%chance
0.6%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
5%chance
0.7%
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0%
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
3%chance
2%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?
1%chance
0.4%
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
2%chance
0.9%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
1%chance
0.4%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
18%chance
7.5%
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
88%chance
11.5%
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
18%chance
9.2%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
5%chance
2%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
1.5%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
4%chance
1.2%
Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
1%chance
0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
23%chance
2%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.4%
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
2%chance
0.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
3%chance
0.3%
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
5%chance
0.5%
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
0%chance
0.6%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
6%chance
0.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
96%chance
0.6%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
5%chance
0.7%
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0%
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
3%chance
2%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?
1%chance
0.4%
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
2%chance
0.9%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
1%chance
0.4%
