Trump won, now what?

Trump and crew

Promises & policies

What do the first few months in office look like?

Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
22%chance
1%
Oprah Winfrey
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
34%chance
14.4%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
96%chance
2%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Trump out as President in 2025?
0%chance
0.2%
<$100b
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
33%chance
2.9%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
19%chance
1%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
3%chance
0.4%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
3%chance
0.6%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
J.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0.8%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
4%chance
0.7%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
0%chance
0%
China
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
0%chance
0.3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%
David Malpass
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0%
December 31, 2025
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
4%chance
0.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
97%chance
1.1%
Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?
0%chance
0.1%
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?
2%chance
1%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
0%chance
0.4%
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?
0%chance
0%
<250k
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
22%chance
1%
Oprah Winfrey
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
34%chance
14.4%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
96%chance
2%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Trump out as President in 2025?
0%chance
0.2%
<$100b
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
33%chance
2.9%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
19%chance
1%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
3%chance
0.4%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
3%chance
0.6%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
J.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0.8%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
4%chance
0.7%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
0%chance
0%
China
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
0%chance
0.3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%
David Malpass
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0%
December 31, 2025
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
4%chance
0.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
97%chance
1.1%
Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?
0%chance
0.1%
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?
2%chance
1%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
0%chance
0.4%
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?
0%chance
0%
<250k
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%