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Trump won, now what?

Trump and crew

Promises & policies

What do the first few months in office look like?

icon for Margo Martin
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
4%chance
0.3%
icon for Belarus
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
0%chance
0%
icon for December 31, 2026
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
1%chance
0.1%
icon for December 31
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
11%chance
5%
icon for Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?
2%chance
1.5%
icon for Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
16%chance
3.5%
icon for 0-4
Will Trump issue 0-4 vetoes by December 31, 2027?
17%chance
8%
market icon
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
2%chance
0.5%
icon for Trump impeached and removed before 2028?
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?
17%chance
1.3%
icon for 0
Will there be no government shutdown by December 31, 2027?
17%chance
0%
icon for January 31, 2027
Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by January 31, 2027?
12%chance
0.5%
icon for Donald Trump - President
Will the House impeach Donald Trump by June 30, 2027?
43%chance
4.5%
icon for Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?
50%chance
4%
icon for ↑ 44%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
9%chance
0.1%
icon for December 31, 2026
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?
3%chance
0.1%
icon for November 30
Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?
7%chance
0%
icon for November 30
White House press briefing room decommissioned by November 30?
20%chance
0%
icon for ↑ 46%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% by June 30, 2027?
8%chance
0%
icon for January 31
Will Trump sign a bill from the new Congress by January 31?
56%chance
5.5%
icon for 0
Will Congress override 0 Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027?
41%chance
3%
icon for Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?
7%chance
1%
icon for Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
3%chance
0.1%
icon for Margo Martin
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
4%chance
0.3%
icon for Belarus
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
0%chance
0%
icon for December 31, 2026
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
1%chance
0.1%
icon for December 31
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
11%chance
5%
icon for Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?
2%chance
1.5%
icon for Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
16%chance
3.5%
icon for 0-4
Will Trump issue 0-4 vetoes by December 31, 2027?
17%chance
8%
market icon
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
2%chance
0.5%
icon for Trump impeached and removed before 2028?
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?
17%chance
1.3%
icon for 0
Will there be no government shutdown by December 31, 2027?
17%chance
0%
icon for January 31, 2027
Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by January 31, 2027?
12%chance
0.5%
icon for Donald Trump - President
Will the House impeach Donald Trump by June 30, 2027?
43%chance
4.5%
icon for Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?
50%chance
4%
icon for ↑ 44%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
9%chance
0.1%
icon for December 31, 2026
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?
3%chance
0.1%
icon for November 30
Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?
7%chance
0%
icon for November 30
White House press briefing room decommissioned by November 30?
20%chance
0%
icon for ↑ 46%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% by June 30, 2027?
8%chance
0%
icon for January 31
Will Trump sign a bill from the new Congress by January 31?
56%chance
5.5%
icon for 0
Will Congress override 0 Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027?
41%chance
3%
icon for Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?
7%chance
1%
icon for Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
3%chance
0.1%
Candidate icon

What else is in store for the Trump presidency?

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