DASHBOARDS

Trump won, now what?

Trump and crew

Promises and Policies

What do the first few months in office look like?

Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
12%chance
1.5%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
23%chance
1%
December 5
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?
0%chance
0.8%
Mike Waltz
Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
91%chance
1.5%
Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
6%chance
0.7%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
2%chance
0.1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
3%chance
0.1%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
10%chance
1.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
2%chance
0.1%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
3%chance
0.4%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
27%chance
1%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
6%chance
0.3%
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
0%chance
0.5%
<250k
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
3%chance
1.5%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
2%chance
0.1%
<$100b
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
18%chance
1.7%
Australia
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
3%chance
0.3%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
2%chance
0.1%
Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?
0%chance
0.4%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
95%chance
0.4%
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Obama federally charged in 2025?
2%chance
0.3%
Trump cabinet member out in 2025?
11%chance
2%
Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?
3%chance
0.9%
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
12%chance
1.5%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
23%chance
1%
December 5
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?
0%chance
0.8%
Mike Waltz
Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
91%chance
1.5%
Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
6%chance
0.7%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
2%chance
0.1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
3%chance
0.1%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
10%chance
1.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
2%chance
0.1%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
3%chance
0.4%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
27%chance
1%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
6%chance
0.3%
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
0%chance
0.5%
<250k
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
3%chance
1.5%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
2%chance
0.1%
<$100b
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
18%chance
1.7%
Australia
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
3%chance
0.3%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
2%chance
0.1%
Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?
0%chance
0.4%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
95%chance
0.4%
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Obama federally charged in 2025?
2%chance
0.3%
Trump cabinet member out in 2025?
11%chance
2%
Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?
3%chance
0.9%
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
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What else is in store for the Trump presidency?

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