Trump won, now what?

Trump and crew

Promises & policies

What do the first few months in office look like?

Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
21%chance
1%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.3%
Oprah Winfrey
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
31%chance
3.6%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
92%chance
4%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0%
<$100b
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
32%chance
3%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
3%chance
1.6%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
2%chance
0.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
21%chance
2.5%
J.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
99%chance
0.4%
December 31, 2025
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
1%chance
1.8%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
6%chance
0.1%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
1%chance
2.3%
David Malpass
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0.1%
<40.0%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
4%chance
1.9%
Trump out as President in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
96%chance
1.4%
<250k
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1%chance
0.8%
China
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Trump announce run for 3rd term?
1%chance
0.3%
card image
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
0%chance
0.2%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
28%chance
1%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2%chance
0.8%
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
21%chance
1%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
0%chance
0.3%
Oprah Winfrey
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
31%chance
3.6%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
92%chance
4%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0%
<$100b
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
32%chance
3%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
3%chance
1.6%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
2%chance
0.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
21%chance
2.5%
J.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1%chance
0%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
99%chance
0.4%
December 31, 2025
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
1%chance
1.8%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
6%chance
0.1%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
1%chance
2.3%
David Malpass
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0.1%
<40.0%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
4%chance
1.9%
Trump out as President in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
96%chance
1.4%
<250k
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1%chance
0.8%
China
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Trump announce run for 3rd term?
1%chance
0.3%
card image
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
0%chance
0.2%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
28%chance
1%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2%chance
0.8%
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%