Trump won, now what?


Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
1%chance
0.1%

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
9%chance
1%

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
1%chance
0.3%

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
11%chance
1%

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
32%chance
0.5%

Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
43%chance
0.2%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
22%chance
3%

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
7%chance
0%

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
19%chance
3.5%

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
72%chance
4.5%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
1%chance
0.1%

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
9%chance
1%

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
1%chance
0.3%

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
11%chance
1%

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
32%chance
0.5%

Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
43%chance
0.2%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
22%chance
3%

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
7%chance
0%

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
19%chance
3.5%

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
72%chance
4.5%
