Primary election odds & predictions

80%

James Talarico

21%

Jasmine Crockett

<1%

Colin Allred

<1%

Beto O'Rourke

83%

Ken Paxton

14%

John Cornyn

3%

Wesley Hunt

<1%

Dawn Buckingham

80%

Daniel Crenshaw

19%

Steve Toth

2%

Nicholas Plumb

<1%

Martin Etwop

97%

Mark Teixeira

1%

Trey Trainor

<1%

Mike Wheeler

<1%

Daniel Betts

60%

Laurie Buckhout

37%

Asa Buck

8%

Tom Bailey

2%

Bobby Hanig

89%

Brandon Herrera

9%

Tony Gonzales

87%

Chris Gober

9%

Rob Altman

2%

Kara King

1%

Jeremy Story

92%

John Carter

5%

Valentina Gomez

2%

Raymond Hamden

94%

Fredrick Love

5%

Supha Xayprasith-Mays

49%

Tom Sell

29%

Abraham Enriquez

6%

Matthew Smith

5%

Jason Corley

71%

Sholdon Daniels

23%

Gregor Heise

<1%

Everett Jackson

<1%

Nils Walker

98%

Greg Abbott

1%

Pete Chambers

<1%

Mark Goloby

92%

Jessica Steinmann

3%

Brett Jensen

3%

Nick Tran

2%

Stephen Long

96%

Henry Cuellar

2%

Ryan Trevino

84%

Jon Bonck

9%

Jeff Yuna

4%

Shelly deZevallos

3%

Jennifer Sundt

98%

Gina Hinojosa

1%

Beto O'Rourke

<1%

Andrew White

<1%

Chris Bell

86%

Jace Yarbrough

12%

Ryan Binkley

2%

Monty Montanez

2%

Paul Bondar

97%

Hallie Shoffner

2%

Dan Whitfield

86%

Cliff Johnson

14%

Kelvin Buck

94%

Scott Colom

6%

Albert Littell

56%

Raja Krishnamoorthi

38%

Juliana Stratton

4%

Christopher Swann

4%

Awisi Bustos

28%

Richard Boykin

34%

Kina Collins

40%

Melissa Conyears Ervin

5%

Anthony Driver Jr.

84%

Darren Bailey

5%

Rick Heidner

3%

Joseph Severino

3%

Ted Dabrowski

93%

Vivek Ramaswamy

7%

Casey Putsch

<1%

Philip Funderburg

96%

Amy Acton

2%

Jacob Chiara

94%

Sherrod Brown

2%

Greg Landsman

1%

Tim Ryan

1%

Allison Russo

54%

Jeffrey Kessler

28%

Zachary Shrewsbury

6%

Rachel Anderson

4%

Rio Phillips

89%

Brinker Harding

8%

Dan Frei

3%

Brett Lindstrom

72%

Julia Letlow

16%

Bill Cassidy

9%

John Fleming

<1%

Blake Miguez

61%

Jamie Davis Jr.

14%

Jabarie Walker

5%

Tracie Burke

37%

Christine Drazan

21%

Chris Dudley

6%

Danielle Bethell

4%

Chael Sonnen

35%

Douglas T. Muck Jr.

17%

Tim Skelton

17%

Russell McAlmond

14%

Joe Johnson

73%

Mike Collins

19%

Derek Dooley

8%

Earl Carter

<1%

Jonathan McColumn

93%

Tommy Tuberville

7%

Ken McFeeters

44%

Andy Barr

33%

Nate Morris

17%

Daniel Cameron

<1%

Mike Faris

47%

Sharif Street

18%

Chris Rabb

9%

Robin Toldens

5%

Ala Stanford

96%

Jeff Merkley

2%

Jacob Ryan

40%

Rick Jackson

27%

Burt Jones

21%

Brad Raffensperger

2%

Chris Carr

71%

Thomas Massie

29%

Ed Gallrein

<1%

Nicole Lee Ethington

<1%

Robert Wells Jr.

92%

Jim Risch

7%

Joe Evans

70%

Charles Booker

21%

Amy McGrath

<1%

Logan Forsythe

16%

Joel Willett

92%

Stacy Garrity

3%

John Ventre

2%

Doug Mastriano

89%

Doug Jones

8%

Yolanda Flowers

2%

Ja’Mel Brown

<1%

Will Boyd

51%

Greg Hull

23%

Steve Lanier

8%

Duke Rodriguez

2%

Brian Cillessen

95%

Joe Mitchell

<1%

Charlie McClintock

<1%

Shannon Lundgren

90%

Ashley Hinson

5%

John Berman

4%

Jim Carlin

<1%

Joshua Smith

38%

Dusty Johnson

33%

Toby Doeden

17%

Larry Rhoden

8%

Jon Hansen

68%

Graham Platner

33%

Janet Mills

<1%

Dan Kleban

<1%

Chellie Pingree

90%

Paul LePage

9%

James Clark

65%

Pamela Evette

17%

Nancy Mace

16%

Alan Wilson

3%

Josh Kimbrell

89%

Aaron Ford

12%

Alexis Hill

45%

Robert Charles

26%

David Jones

6%

Ben Midgely

7%

Jonathan Bush

35%

Hannah Pingree

24%

Troy Jackson

21%

Nirav Shah

16%

Shenna Bellows

41%

Mark Smith

28%

Alex Pelbath

11%

Sam McCown

10%

Dan Brown

68%

Jermaine Johnson

24%

Mullins McLeod

83%

Lindsey Graham

14%

Paul Dans

4%

Mark Lynch

2%

Thomas Murphy

40%

Joe Baldacci

30%

Jordan Wood

22%

Matthew Dunlap

3%

Jared Golden

90%

Cyndi Munson

9%

Arya Azma

92%

Mark Warner

3%

Jason Reynolds

56%

Troy Green

23%

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas

14%

Jim Priest

2%

Rebekah LaVann

29%

David Williams

13%

Winsome Earle-Sears

16%

Kim Farington

13%

Al Mina

94%

Bruce Blakeman

3%

Elise Stefanik

2%

Pat Hahn

<1%

David Tulley

23%

Ed Hale

8%

Carl Brunner

6%

Christopher Bouchat

4%

John Myrick

55%

Micah Lasher

25%

Alex Bores

<1%

Andrew Cuomo

10%

Jack Schlossberg

53%

Nate Blouin

41%

Ben McAdams

5%

Jenny Wilson

5%

Erin Mendenhall

51%

Adriano Espaillat

5%

Jaleel Amador

49%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez

36%

Victor Marx

29%

Barbara Kirkmeyer

19%

Scott Bottoms

14%

Daniel Thomas

82%

Michael Bennet

17%

Phil Weiser

2%

David Hughes

<1%

William Moses

32%

Todd Graham

30%

Joseph Chaplik

12%

Mark Brnovich

6%

Gina Swoboda

89%

Andy Biggs

5%

David Schweikert

4%

Karrin Taylor Robson

71%

Vicente Ada

25%

Frank F. Blas Jr.

2%

Marcel Camacho

1%

Charlie Hermosa

75%

Jeremy Moss

14%

Andy Levin

6%

Aisha Farooqi

3%

Dave Woodward

62%

Sharice Davids

18%

Christy Davis

10%

Sandy Spidel Neumann

6%

Michael Soetaert

54%

Mike Bouchard

28%

Robert Lulgjuraj

7%

Casey Armitage

7%

Justin Kirk

56%

Mallory McMorrow

22%

Abdul El-Sayed

21%

Haley Stevens

3%

Rashida Tlaib

55%

Jeff Colyer

27%

Ty Masterson

4%

Charlotte O’Hara

4%

Joy Eakins

60%

John James

6%

Anthony Hudson

4%

Karla Wagner

4%

William Null

62%

Jerri Green

28%

Carnita Atwater

5%

Tim Cyr

3%

Adam Kurtz

47%

Lisa Demuth

29%

Kendall Qualls

12%

Mike Lindell

3%

Chris Madel

55%

Tyler Kistner

42%

Eric Pratt

75%

Michele Tafoya

1%

Jim Nash

10%

David Hann

6%

Royce White

60%

Mandela Barnes

19%

Sara Rodriguez

8%

Francesca Hong

4%

Kelda Roys

36%

Charity Clark

26%

Mike Pieciak

6%

Esther Charlestin

88%

Ned Lamont

6%

Josh Elliott

78%

Peggy Flanagan

18%

Angie Craig

4%

Melisa López Franzen

3%

David Wellstone

82%

Byron Donalds

10%

James Fishback

5%

Jay Collins

1%

Casey DeSantis

88%

Alexander Vindman

8%

Jared Moskowitz

1%

Angie Nixon

<1%

Alan Grayson

44%

Catalina Lauf

26%

Madison Cawthorn

11%

Spencer Roach

10%

Jim Oberweis

89%

Ashley B. Moody

5%

Michaelangelo Hamilton

4%

A.C. Toulme

3%

Jake Lang

88%

Chris Pappas

7%

Karishma Manzur

53%

Stefany Shaheen

27%

Maura Sullivan

11%

Carleigh Beriont

39%

Cinde Warmington

23%

Deaglan McEachern

20%

Tom Sherman

14%

John Kiper

48%

Ashley Kalus

45%

Robert Raimondo

28%

Elaine Pelino

5%

Aaron Guckian

66%

Kelly Ayotte

30%

Corey Lewandowski

92%

Chris Coons

3%

Christopher Beardsley

72%

Dan Koh

2%

Rick Jakious

1%

Tram Nguyen

1%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito