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Trump

Macro dashboard

US recession by end of 2026? - image

US recession by end of 2026?

22% chance

Economy

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? - image

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

26%

chance

Fed rate hike in 2026? - image

Fed rate hike in 2026?

12%

chance

Negative GDP growth in 2026? - image

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

12%

chance

Key Elections

12

Apr

Hungary

Prime Minister

Hungary - image

5

Mar

Nepal

Legislative

Nepal - image

Geopolitics

Xi Jinping out before 2027? - image

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

9%

chance

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? - image

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

44%

chance

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? - image

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

18%

chance

Macro dashboard

US recession by end of 2026? - image

US recession by end of 2026?

22% chance

Economy

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? - image

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

26%

chance

Fed rate hike in 2026? - image

Fed rate hike in 2026?

12%

chance

Negative GDP growth in 2026? - image

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

12%

chance

Key Elections

12

Apr

Hungary

Prime Minister

Hungary - image

5

Mar

Nepal

Legislative

Nepal - image

Geopolitics

Xi Jinping out before 2027? - image

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

9%

chance

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? - image

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

44%

chance

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? - image

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

18%

chance