Skip to main content

Macro dashboard

Macro dashboard

25% chance
Polymarket

Economy

ECB rate hike in 2026? - image

ECB rate hike in 2026?

91%

chance

Negative GDP growth in 2026? - image

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

4%

chance

Fed rate hike in 2026? - image

Fed rate hike in 2026?

21%

chance

Geopolitics

Xi Jinping out before 2027? - image

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - image

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

62%

chance

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? - image

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

25%

chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? - image

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

37%

chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? - image

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? - image

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

13%

chance

Macro dashboard

25% chance
Polymarket

Economy

Polymarket
ECB rate hike in 2026? - image

ECB rate hike in 2026?

91%

chance

Negative GDP growth in 2026? - image

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

4%

chance

Fed rate hike in 2026? - image

Fed rate hike in 2026?

21%

chance

Geopolitics

Polymarket
Xi Jinping out before 2027? - image

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - image

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

62%

chance

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? - image

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

25%

chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? - image

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

37%

chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? - image

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? - image

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

13%

chance