Macro dashboard
Macro dashboard
Economy

ECB rate hike in 2026?
88%
chance

Negative GDP growth in 2026?
4%
chance

Fed rate hike in 2026?
19%
chance
Geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
39%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
14%
chance

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
23%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
<1%
chance

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
7%
chance
Macro dashboard
Economy

ECB rate hike in 2026?
88%
chance

Negative GDP growth in 2026?
4%
chance

Fed rate hike in 2026?
19%
chance
Geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
39%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
14%
chance

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
23%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
<1%
chance

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
7%
chance





