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Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 4th Place

$17,336 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 49%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 20%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 14%

António José Seguro (IND) 8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the fourth-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$17,336
End Date
Jan 18, 2026
Created At
Jan 14, 2026, 6:15 PM UTC
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$17,336 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 4th Place

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 49%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 20%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 14%

António José Seguro (IND) 8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$413 Vol.

49%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$347 Vol.

20%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$255 Vol.

14%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$248 Vol.

8%

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André Ventura (CH)

$342 Vol.

4%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,807 Vol.

1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$373 Vol.

1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$3,750 Vol.

1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$467 Vol.

1%

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Manuel João Vieira

$341 Vol.

1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$642 Vol.

1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$587 Vol.

1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$552 Vol.

1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$612 Vol.

1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$642 Vol.

1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$552 Vol.

1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$492 Vol.

1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$492 Vol.

1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$642 Vol.

1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$642 Vol.

1%

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Humberto Correia

$321 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$347 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$215 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$255 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$17,336
End Date
Jan 18, 2026
Created At
Jan 14, 2026, 6:15 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.