Colombia Presidential Election

Name: Colombia Presidential Election
Start: 2025-07-29T17:32:52.057619Z
End: 2026-06-21T14:00:00Z

$2,015,702 Vol.

Jun 21, 2026

Abelardo de la Espriella 48%

Iván Cepeda Castro 35%

Paloma Valencia 5.8%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) 5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Abelardo de la Espriella
$81,365 Vol.
48%

Iván Cepeda Castro
$55,352 Vol.
35%

Paloma Valencia
$21,273 Vol.
6%

Sergio Fajardo (DC)
$41,951 Vol.
5%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
$24,131 Vol.
5%

Roy Barreras
$31,921 Vol.
2%

Mauricio Cárdenas
$1,290,912 Vol.
<1%

Claudia López (IND)
$38,411 Vol.
<1%

Vicky Dávila (IND)
$37,486 Vol.
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
$63,538 Vol.
<1%

David Luna Sánchez (IND)
$61,252 Vol.
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)
$39,255 Vol.
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)
$43,852 Vol.
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)
$41,870 Vol.
<1%

Daniel Quintero
$18,233 Vol.
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)
$68,490 Vol.
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
$31,795 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Created At: Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Volume

$2,015,702

End Date

Jun 21, 2026

Created At

Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$2,015,702 Vol.

Jun 21, 2026

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella 48%

Iván Cepeda Castro 35%

Paloma Valencia 5.8%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) 5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Abelardo de la Espriella

$81,365 Vol.

48%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$55,352 Vol.

35%

Paloma Valencia

$21,273 Vol.

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$41,951 Vol.

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$24,131 Vol.

Roy Barreras

$31,921 Vol.

Mauricio Cárdenas

$1,290,912 Vol.

<1%

Claudia López (IND)

$38,411 Vol.

<1%

Vicky Dávila (IND)

$37,486 Vol.

<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$63,538 Vol.

<1%

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

$61,252 Vol.

<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$39,255 Vol.

<1%

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

$43,852 Vol.

<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

$41,870 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Quintero

$18,233 Vol.

<1%

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

$68,490 Vol.

<1%

Enrique Peñalosa

$31,795 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$2,015,702

End Date

Jun 21, 2026

Created At

Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

53%

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

18%

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

51%

Beware of external links.

Colombia Presidential Election