The Somaliland Guurti approved a 27-month extension of the House of Representatives’ term in April 2026, shifting the mandate from July 2026 to October 2028 amid ongoing regional conflicts in Sool, Sanaag, Awdal, and SSC, persistent drought, and broader economic pressures. This institutional decision, following National Electoral Commission advice, has anchored trader consensus on no parliamentary election before 2027. The current parliament remains active with routine business into October 2026, and no reversal of the extension has occurred. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include rapid de-escalation of eastern conflicts, successful nationwide security preparations, or renewed political negotiations that accelerate the vote timeline.