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Portugal Presidential Election

$78,341,656 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 69%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 16%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 7.2%

André Ventura (CH) 5.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$78,341,656
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
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$78,341,656 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 69%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 16%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 7.2%

André Ventura (CH) 5.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$742,675 Vol.

69%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$361,726 Vol.

16%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$464,748 Vol.

7%

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André Ventura (CH)

$1,112,843 Vol.

5%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$341,712 Vol.

4%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,220,720 Vol.

<1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$788,587 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$250,217 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$181,172 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,170,653 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,680,482 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$534,934 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$7,820,073 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,262,867 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,509,292 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$3,620,239 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$4,473,935 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$6,365,660 Vol.

<1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$13,876,552 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,054,864 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,698,322 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$4,809,608 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$78,341,656
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.