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Portugal Presidential Election

$77,585,394 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 65%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 17%

André Ventura (CH) 7.0%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 6.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$77,585,394
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
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$77,585,394 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 65%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 17%

André Ventura (CH) 7.0%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 6.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$691,841 Vol.

65%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$337,926 Vol.

17%

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André Ventura (CH)

$961,468 Vol.

7%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$399,424 Vol.

7%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$320,324 Vol.

4%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,203,585 Vol.

<1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$567,023 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$236,651 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,158,427 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$6,346,390 Vol.

<1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$13,832,501 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,043,634 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,690,372 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$4,794,094 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$179,143 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,661,058 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$519,834 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$7,815,073 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,240,958 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,503,387 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$3,609,346 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$4,472,935 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$77,585,394
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.