Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

$78,521,791 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 69%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 16%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 6.7%

André Ventura (CH) 5.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$78,521,791
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$78,521,791 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 69%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 16%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 6.7%

André Ventura (CH) 5.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$743,892 Vol.

69%

Market icon

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$362,649 Vol.

16%

Market icon

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$466,164 Vol.

7%

Market icon

André Ventura (CH)

$1,143,570 Vol.

5%

Market icon

António José Seguro (IND)

$343,212 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,221,297 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$788,603 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Catarina Martins (BE)

$250,432 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,263,165 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,510,824 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$13,879,677 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,173,707 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

André Pestana (IND)

$1,688,939 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$3,697,851 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,706,916 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Jorge Pinto

$4,809,854 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Tim Vieira (IND)

$181,172 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$534,934 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$7,836,073 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$4,485,935 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

António Filipe (PCP)

$6,389,105 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,059,249 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$78,521,791
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.