Portugal Presidential Election

Name: Portugal Presidential Election
Start: 2025-08-29T19:18:28.935224Z
End: 2026-02-08T14:00:00Z

António José Seguro (IND) 96.4%

André Ventura (CH) 3.3%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) <1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

$121,552,939 Vol.

António José Seguro (IND)
$3,100,584 Vol.
96%

André Ventura (CH)
$10,891,635 Vol.
3%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$3,942,739 Vol.
<1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$3,641,861 Vol.
<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$3,986,400 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$3,781,215 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$3,216,123 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$337,844 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$5,991,597 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$1,871,129 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$771,197 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$9,105,328 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$3,475,153 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$8,690,800 Vol.
<1%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$2,700,946 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$4,131,353 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$7,067,333 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$6,992,222 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$18,892,237 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$8,446,348 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$4,088,474 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$6,432,801 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Volume

$121,552,939

End Date

Feb 8, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND) 96.4%

André Ventura (CH) 3.3%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) <1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

$121,552,939 Vol.

António José Seguro (IND)

$3,100,584 Vol.

96%

André Ventura (CH)

$10,891,635 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$3,942,739 Vol.

<1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$3,641,861 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,986,400 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$3,781,215 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$3,216,123 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$337,844 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$5,991,597 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$1,871,129 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$771,197 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$9,105,328 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,475,153 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,690,800 Vol.

<1%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$2,700,946 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$4,131,353 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$7,067,333 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$6,992,222 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$18,892,237 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,446,348 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$4,088,474 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$6,432,801 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$121,552,939

End Date

Feb 8, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

39%

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?

95%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

52%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election