Portugal Presidential Election

Name: Portugal Presidential Election
Start: 2025-08-29T19:18:28.935224Z
End: 2026-01-25T14:00:00Z

$75,265,011 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 66%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 17%

André Ventura (CH) 6.6%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 5.1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$655,159 Vol.
66%
0123456789
%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$316,667 Vol.
17%
0123456789
%

André Ventura (CH)
$884,416 Vol.
7%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$358,191 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

António José Seguro (IND)
$311,655 Vol.
4%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$13,808,068 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$3,686,392 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Jorge Pinto
$4,787,725 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$3,202,352 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$552,043 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$230,138 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$175,060 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$4,155,490 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$1,653,207 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$519,834 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$7,813,963 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$3,239,958 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$7,330,567 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$3,608,346 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$4,472,935 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$5,462,291 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$8,040,585 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC

Volume

$75,265,011

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$75,265,011 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 66%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 17%

André Ventura (CH) 6.6%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 5.1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$655,159 Vol.

66%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$316,667 Vol.

17%

André Ventura (CH)

$884,416 Vol.

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$358,191 Vol.

António José Seguro (IND)

$311,655 Vol.

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$13,808,068 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,686,392 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$4,787,725 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,202,352 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$552,043 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$230,138 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$175,060 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,155,490 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$1,653,207 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$519,834 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$7,813,963 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,239,958 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$7,330,567 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$3,608,346 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$4,472,935 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$5,462,291 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,040,585 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$75,265,011

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

44%

Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

36%

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

76%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$655,159 Vol.
66%
0123456789
%