Market icon

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Market icon

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado 100.0%

Douglas Caamaño Quirós <1%

Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya <1%

Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes <1%

Polymarket

$4,361,347 Vol.

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado 100.0%

Douglas Caamaño Quirós <1%

Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya <1%

Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes <1%

Polymarket

$4,361,347 Vol.

Market icon

Douglas Caamaño Quirós

$45,986 Vol.

No

Market icon

Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya

$88,057 Vol.

No

Market icon

Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes

$228,412 Vol.

No

Market icon

Walter Rubén Hernández Juárez

$64,954 Vol.

No

Market icon

Eliécer Feinzaig Mintz

$46,320 Vol.

No

Market icon

Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz

$88,328 Vol.

No

Market icon

Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes

$351,971 Vol.

No

Market icon

Boris Molina Acevedo

$33,587 Vol.

No

Market icon

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo

$384,151 Vol.

No

Market icon

David Hernández Brenes

$30,879 Vol.

No

Market icon

Marco David Rodríguez Badilla

$46,658 Vol.

No

Market icon

Luis Esteban Amador Jiménez

$49,235 Vol.

No

Market icon

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

$658,072 Vol.

No

Market icon

Fernando Zamora Castellanos

$43,094 Vol.

No

Market icon

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$1,962,515 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Natalia Díaz Quintana

$76,031 Vol.

No

Market icon

José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal

$163,097 Vol.

No

The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).
Volume
$4,361,347
End Date
Feb 1, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 11, 2025, 12:11 PM ET
The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Costa Rica Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado" at 100%, followed by "Douglas Caamaño Quirós" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Costa Rica Presidential Election" has generated $4.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Costa Rica Presidential Election," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Costa Rica Presidential Election" is "Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Douglas Caamaño Quirós" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Costa Rica Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.