Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 59-60% turnout bracket at 53.9% for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, closely mirroring the Consejo Nacional Electoral's (CNE) official figure of 60.19%—derived from 3,926,010 votes out of 6,522,577 registered voters, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.58% due to registry expansion. This positioning stems from the CNE's December 2025 certification amid fraud allegations by Liberal Party's Salvador Nasralla and LIBRE, a partial manual recount of 15% of tally sheets for inconsistencies, and the EU Electoral Observation Mission's March 3 final report confirming no manipulation but highlighting organizational shortcomings and eroded public trust. Lower brackets like <56% reflect persistent skepticism over irregularities, while upcoming legal challenges could prompt revisions before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTurnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
59-60% 53.9%
<56% 15.0%
58-59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.8%
$43,021 Vol.
$43,021 Vol.
<56%
14%
56-57%
3%
57-58%
3%
58-59%
12%
59-60%
54%
60-61%
5%
61-62%
4%
>62%
3%
59-60% 53.9%
<56% 15.0%
58-59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.8%
$43,021 Vol.
$43,021 Vol.
<56%
14%
56-57%
3%
57-58%
3%
58-59%
12%
59-60%
54%
60-61%
5%
61-62%
4%
>62%
3%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 59-60% turnout bracket at 53.9% for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, closely mirroring the Consejo Nacional Electoral's (CNE) official figure of 60.19%—derived from 3,926,010 votes out of 6,522,577 registered voters, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.58% due to registry expansion. This positioning stems from the CNE's December 2025 certification amid fraud allegations by Liberal Party's Salvador Nasralla and LIBRE, a partial manual recount of 15% of tally sheets for inconsistencies, and the EU Electoral Observation Mission's March 3 final report confirming no manipulation but highlighting organizational shortcomings and eroded public trust. Lower brackets like <56% reflect persistent skepticism over irregularities, while upcoming legal challenges could prompt revisions before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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