Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025, general election at 74.2% implied probability, reflecting final figures calculated at 60.19% total votes cast out of 6.5 million registered voters—a drop from 68.6% in 2021 amid widespread disillusionment with the political class, fraud allegations, and economic pressures boosting abstention to nearly 40%. Initial election-day reports highlighted high participation praised by OAS observers, but prolonged CNE delays, technical glitches, manual recounts of 15% of ballots, and protests extended certification until December 24, 2025, when Nasry Asfura was declared president. La Prensa's January 6, 2026, analysis confirmed the decline, aligning with historical averages around 61%, positioning lower outcomes as unlikely while higher bins lag due to apathy trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTurnout in 2025 Honduran General Election
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election
55-60% 74.2%
<55% 17.3%
60-65% 4.0%
$1,584,949 Vol.
$1,584,949 Vol.
Nov 30, 2025
<55%
17%
55-60%
74%
60-65%
4%
55-60% 74.2%
<55% 17.3%
60-65% 4.0%
$1,584,949 Vol.
$1,584,949 Vol.
Nov 30, 2025
<55%
$391,508 Vol.
17%
55-60%
$183,819 Vol.
74%
60-65%
$364,411 Vol.
4%
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025, general election at 74.2% implied probability, reflecting final figures calculated at 60.19% total votes cast out of 6.5 million registered voters—a drop from 68.6% in 2021 amid widespread disillusionment with the political class, fraud allegations, and economic pressures boosting abstention to nearly 40%. Initial election-day reports highlighted high participation praised by OAS observers, but prolonged CNE delays, technical glitches, manual recounts of 15% of ballots, and protests extended certification until December 24, 2025, when Nasry Asfura was declared president. La Prensa's January 6, 2026, analysis confirmed the decline, aligning with historical averages around 61%, positioning lower outcomes as unlikely while higher bins lag due to apathy trends.
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Market Opened: Nov 29, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$1,584,949End Date
Nov 30, 2025Market Opened
Nov 29, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025, general election at 74.2% implied probability, reflecting final figures calculated at 60.19% total votes cast out of 6.5 million registered voters—a drop from 68.6% in 2021 amid widespread disillusionment with the political class, fraud allegations, and economic pressures boosting abstention to nearly 40%. Initial election-day reports highlighted high participation praised by OAS observers, but prolonged CNE delays, technical glitches, manual recounts of 15% of ballots, and protests extended certification until December 24, 2025, when Nasry Asfura was declared president. La Prensa's January 6, 2026, analysis confirmed the decline, aligning with historical averages around 61%, positioning lower outcomes as unlikely while higher bins lag due to apathy trends.
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Volume
$1,584,949End Date
Nov 30, 2025Market Opened
Nov 29, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025, general election at 74.2% implied probability, reflecting final figures calculated at 60.19% total votes cast out of 6.5 million registered voters—a drop from 68.6% in 2021 amid widespread disillusionment with the political class, fraud allegations, and economic pressures boosting abstention to nearly 40%. Initial election-day reports highlighted high participation praised by OAS observers, but prolonged CNE delays, technical glitches, manual recounts of 15% of ballots, and protests extended certification until December 24, 2025, when Nasry Asfura was declared president. La Prensa's January 6, 2026, analysis confirmed the decline, aligning with historical averages around 61%, positioning lower outcomes as unlikely while higher bins lag due to apathy trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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