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Politics·Global Elections

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

55-60% 74.2%

<55% 17.5%

60-65% 4.0%

Polymarket

$1,584,899 Vol.

55-60% 74.2%

<55% 17.5%

60-65% 4.0%

Polymarket

$1,584,899 Vol.

<55%

$391,508 Vol.

18%

55-60%

$183,775 Vol.

74%

60-65%

$364,405 Vol.

4%

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus strongly favors 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' 2025 general election, matching historical norms like 2017's 57% after 2021's outlier 69% fueled by anti-corruption fervor. Key drivers include persistent political violence, with over 15 aspiring candidates assassinated by gang elements since June 2024, suppressing participation; economic stagnation marked by high inflation, poverty exceeding 70%, and mass emigration shrinking the eligible pool to about 5.2 million registered voters; and low enthusiasm for President Castro's reelection bid amid falling approval ratings below 40%. Sub-55% odds reflect risks from apathy, while 60-65% sees minimal backing absent mobilization surges ahead of the November 30 vote.

Trader consensus strongly favors 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' 2025 general election, matching historical norms like 2017's 57% after 2021's outlier 69% fueled by anti-corruption fervor. Key drivers include persistent political violence, with over 15 aspiring candidates assassinated by gang elements since June 2024, suppressing participation; economic stagnation marked by high inflation, poverty exceeding 70%, and mass emigration shrinking the eligible pool to about 5.2 million registered voters; and low enthusiasm for President Castro's reelection bid amid falling approval ratings below 40%. Sub-55% odds reflect risks from apathy, while 60-65% sees minimal backing absent mobilization surges ahead of the November 30 vote.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus strongly favors 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' 2025 general election, matching historical norms like 2017's 57% after 2021's outlier 69% fueled by anti-corruption fervor. Key drivers include persistent political violence, with over 15 aspiring candidates assassinated by gang elements since June 2024, suppressing participation; economic stagnation marked by high inflation, poverty exceeding 70%, and mass emigration shrinking the eligible pool to about 5.2 million registered voters; and low enthusiasm for President Castro's reelection bid amid falling approval ratings below 40%. Sub-55% odds reflect risks from apathy, while 60-65% sees minimal backing absent mobilization surges ahead of the November 30 vote.

Trader consensus strongly favors 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' 2025 general election, matching historical norms like 2017's 57% after 2021's outlier 69% fueled by anti-corruption fervor. Key drivers include persistent political violence, with over 15 aspiring candidates assassinated by gang elements since June 2024, suppressing participation; economic stagnation marked by high inflation, poverty exceeding 70%, and mass emigration shrinking the eligible pool to about 5.2 million registered voters; and low enthusiasm for President Castro's reelection bid amid falling approval ratings below 40%. Sub-55% odds reflect risks from apathy, while 60-65% sees minimal backing absent mobilization surges ahead of the November 30 vote.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "55-60%" at 74%, followed by "<55%" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election" is "55-60%" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<55%" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.