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Elections·Orban

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

Market icon
Elections·Orban

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

71–74% 35%

74–77% 27%

80%+ 15.6%

68–71% 13%

Polymarket

$102,292 Vol.

71–74% 35%

74–77% 27%

80%+ 15.6%

68–71% 13%

Polymarket

$102,292 Vol.

Market icon

<65%

$3,337 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

65–68%

$4,896 Vol.

3%

Market icon

68–71%

$60,632 Vol.

13%

Market icon

71–74%

$9,922 Vol.

35%

Market icon

74–77%

$6,162 Vol.

27%

Market icon

77–80%

$10,423 Vol.

11%

Market icon

80%+

$6,922 Vol.

16%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).The fiercely contested 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election on April 12 has traders anticipating turnout around 71-77%, reflecting heightened voter engagement from Péter Magyar's Tisza party challenging Viktor Orbán's long-dominant Fidesz–KDNP coalition. Late March polls, including Publicus (Tisza 49%, Fidesz 40%) and Závecz Research (Tisza 51%, Fidesz 38%), underscore the tight race among decided voters, while surveys like Medián report 89% "sure to vote"—far exceeding 2022's 58% actual turnout—driven by youth support for Tisza and Fidesz's rural mobilization. Pollster discrepancies and 20-30% undecideds keep top bins close; final-week scandals, Ukraine-related rhetoric, or weather could tip toward 80%+ highs or sub-71% if enthusiasm wanes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$102,292
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).The fiercely contested 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election on April 12 has traders anticipating turnout around 71-77%, reflecting heightened voter engagement from Péter Magyar's Tisza party challenging Viktor Orbán's long-dominant Fidesz–KDNP coalition. Late March polls, including Publicus (Tisza 49%, Fidesz 40%) and Závecz Research (Tisza 51%, Fidesz 38%), underscore the tight race among decided voters, while surveys like Medián report 89% "sure to vote"—far exceeding 2022's 58% actual turnout—driven by youth support for Tisza and Fidesz's rural mobilization. Pollster discrepancies and 20-30% undecideds keep top bins close; final-week scandals, Ukraine-related rhetoric, or weather could tip toward 80%+ highs or sub-71% if enthusiasm wanes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$102,292
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Related

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Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

70%
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Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

73%
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Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

71%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "71–74%" at 35%, followed by "74–77%" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election" has generated $102.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election" is "71–74%" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "74–77%" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.