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Portugal Presidential Election

$26,691,251 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 55%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 29%

André Ventura (CH) 7.8%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 4.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$26,691,251
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM
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$26,691,251 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 55%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 29%

André Ventura (CH) 7.8%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 4.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$274,915 Vol.

55%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$131,582 Vol.

29%

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André Ventura (CH)

$335,543 Vol.

8%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$149,382 Vol.

5%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$118,629 Vol.

5%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$204,997 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$168,394 Vol.

<1%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$7,492,394 Vol.

<1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$127,262 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$158,797 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$107,655 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,451,449 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$120,043 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$4,715,689 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$124,976 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$92,422 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$94,121 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$3,083,000 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$3,921,767 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$3,717,019 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$82,084 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$19,225 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$26,691,251
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM