Portugal Presidential Election

Name: Portugal Presidential Election
Start: 2026-02-08T14:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-02-08T14:00:00.000Z

António José Seguro (IND) 98.9%

André Ventura (CH) <1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

Rui Moreira (IND) <1%

$127,688,220 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

António José Seguro (IND)
$4,821,129 Vol.
99%

André Ventura (CH)
$14,381,884 Vol.
1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$3,889,215 Vol.
<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$3,993,587 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$3,784,567 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$3,225,956 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$338,960 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$5,991,704 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$1,873,840 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$772,386 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$9,109,551 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$3,475,265 Vol.
<1%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$4,130,455 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$8,696,155 Vol.
<1%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$2,928,565 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$4,132,401 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$7,068,436 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$7,184,026 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$18,895,338 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$8,448,383 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$4,093,354 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$6,453,061 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND) 98.9%

André Ventura (CH) <1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

Rui Moreira (IND) <1%

$127,688,220 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

António José Seguro (IND)

$4,821,129 Vol.

99%

André Ventura (CH)

$14,381,884 Vol.

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$3,889,215 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,993,587 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$3,784,567 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$3,225,956 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$338,960 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$5,991,704 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$1,873,840 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$772,386 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$9,109,551 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,475,265 Vol.

<1%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$4,130,455 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,696,155 Vol.

<1%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$2,928,565 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$4,132,401 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$7,068,436 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$7,184,026 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$18,895,338 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,448,383 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$4,093,354 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$6,453,061 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$127,688,220

End Date

Feb 8, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

48%

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?

23%

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

86%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election