Portugal Presidential Election

Name: Portugal Presidential Election
Start: 2025-08-29T19:18:28.935224Z
End: 2026-01-25T14:00:00Z

$36,182,517 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 66%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 18%

André Ventura (CH) 7.4%

António José Seguro (IND) 5.1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$312,541 Vol.
66%
0123456789
%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$146,595 Vol.
18%
0123456789
%

André Ventura (CH)
$398,006 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%

António José Seguro (IND)
$141,541 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$167,005 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$227,061 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$189,524 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$233,116 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$159,838 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$110,927 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

André Pestana (IND)
$1,504,951 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$243,101 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$5,350,130 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$128,943 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$2,405,520 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$2,312,613 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$3,108,804 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$4,114,684 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$9,425,084 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$4,909,083 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$91,644 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$501,825 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC

Volume

$36,182,517

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$36,182,517 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 66%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 18%

André Ventura (CH) 7.4%

António José Seguro (IND) 5.1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$312,541 Vol.

66%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$146,595 Vol.

18%

André Ventura (CH)

$398,006 Vol.

António José Seguro (IND)

$141,541 Vol.

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$167,005 Vol.

Rui Moreira (IND)

$227,061 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$189,524 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$233,116 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$159,838 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$110,927 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$1,504,951 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$243,101 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$5,350,130 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$128,943 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$2,405,520 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$2,312,613 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$3,108,804 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$4,114,684 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$9,425,084 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$4,909,083 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$91,644 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$501,825 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$36,182,517

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

42%

Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

31%

Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

71%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$312,541 Vol.
66%
0123456789
%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$146,595 Vol.
18%
0123456789
%

André Ventura (CH)
$398,006 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%

António José Seguro (IND)
$141,541 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%