Failed US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 12 collapsed primarily over uranium enrichment, with Washington demanding a complete halt and Tehran insisting on its Non-Proliferation Treaty right to continue as a sovereign matter and strategic deterrent. IAEA's February report detailed Iran's 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium—near weapons-grade—and ongoing access restrictions, underscoring non-compliance amid recent facility attacks. With a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz persisting and only a possible second negotiation round under discussion, traders' 64% "No" consensus reflects entrenched positions, historical negotiation impasses, and scant evidence of imminent capitulation by April 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$1,036,279 Vol.
$1,036,279 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$1,036,279 Vol.
$1,036,279 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Failed US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 12 collapsed primarily over uranium enrichment, with Washington demanding a complete halt and Tehran insisting on its Non-Proliferation Treaty right to continue as a sovereign matter and strategic deterrent. IAEA's February report detailed Iran's 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium—near weapons-grade—and ongoing access restrictions, underscoring non-compliance amid recent facility attacks. With a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz persisting and only a possible second negotiation round under discussion, traders' 64% "No" consensus reflects entrenched positions, historical negotiation impasses, and scant evidence of imminent capitulation by April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,036,279End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Failed US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 12 collapsed primarily over uranium enrichment, with Washington demanding a complete halt and Tehran insisting on its Non-Proliferation Treaty right to continue as a sovereign matter and strategic deterrent. IAEA's February report detailed Iran's 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium—near weapons-grade—and ongoing access restrictions, underscoring non-compliance amid recent facility attacks. With a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz persisting and only a possible second negotiation round under discussion, traders' 64% "No" consensus reflects entrenched positions, historical negotiation impasses, and scant evidence of imminent capitulation by April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,036,280End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Failed US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 12 collapsed primarily over uranium enrichment, with Washington demanding a complete halt and Tehran insisting on its Non-Proliferation Treaty right to continue as a sovereign matter and strategic deterrent. IAEA's February report detailed Iran's 440kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium—near weapons-grade—and ongoing access restrictions, underscoring non-compliance amid recent facility attacks. With a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz persisting and only a possible second negotiation round under discussion, traders' 64% "No" consensus reflects entrenched positions, historical negotiation impasses, and scant evidence of imminent capitulation by April 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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