Politics·France

Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?

Politics·France

Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?

Jean-Luc Moudenc 100.0%

Lambert Meilhac <1%

Malena Adrada <1%

Julian Menendez <1%

$304,548 Vol.

$304,548 Vol.

Mar 22, 2026

Lambert Meilhac

$0 Vol.

No

Malena Adrada

$0 Vol.

No

Julian Menendez

$0 Vol.

No

Jean-Luc Moudenc

$253,620 Vol.

Yes

François Briançon

$0 Vol.

No

François Piquemal

$50,928 Vol.

No

Julien Leonardelli

$0 Vol.

No

Vanessa Pedinotti

$0 Vol.

No

Guillaume Scali

$0 Vol.

No

Arthur Cottrel

$0 Vol.

No

Jean-Luc Moudenc 100.0%

Lambert Meilhac <1%

Malena Adrada <1%

Julian Menendez <1%

$304,548 Vol.

$304,548 Vol.

Mar 22, 2026

Lambert Meilhac

$0 Vol.

No

Malena Adrada

$0 Vol.

No

Julian Menendez

$0 Vol.

No

Jean-Luc Moudenc

$253,620 Vol.

Yes

François Briançon

$0 Vol.

No

François Piquemal

$50,928 Vol.

No

Julien Leonardelli

$0 Vol.

No

Vanessa Pedinotti

$0 Vol.

No

Guillaume Scali

$0 Vol.

No

Arthur Cottrel

$0 Vol.

No

Jean-Luc Moudenc's 100% implied probability as next Toulouse mayor after the 2026 municipal election reflects trader consensus on his formidable incumbency advantage, having secured 48% in the 2020 first round amid stable local governance on urban development and economic growth. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Moudenc yet to formally declare but widely expected to run again under Les Républicains, facing fragmented opposition from figures like National Rally's Lambert Meilhac and socialists François Briançon. This commanding position aligns with historical patterns where French city mayors often win re-election handily. Potential challenges include a unified left-right coalition, personal scandal, or national political wave favoring extremes ahead of the March 2026 two-round vote.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 27, 2026, 10:53 AM UTC

Jean-Luc Moudenc's 100% implied probability as next Toulouse mayor after the 2026 municipal election reflects trader consensus on his formidable incumbency advantage, having secured 48% in the 2020 first round amid stable local governance on urban development and economic growth. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Moudenc yet to formally declare but widely expected to run again under Les Républicains, facing fragmented opposition from figures like National Rally's Lambert Meilhac and socialists François Briançon. This commanding position aligns with historical patterns where French city mayors often win re-election handily. Potential challenges include a unified left-right coalition, personal scandal, or national political wave favoring extremes ahead of the March 2026 two-round vote.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 27, 2026, 10:53 AM UTC

Related

Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?

Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?

Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?

Beware of external links.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Moudenc" at 100%, followed by "Lambert Meilhac" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?" has generated $304.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?" is "Jean-Luc Moudenc" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lambert Meilhac" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $304.5K traded on “Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Jean-Luc Moudenc" in the "Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Jean-Luc Moudenc" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?" market has an active community of 38 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.