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2024 Nomination predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$53M Liq.

716

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$604M Vol.

$2M today

$25M Liq.

381

Ends in over 2 years

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

34%

$892 Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

14%

$1.3K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

16%

Chelsea Clinton

$12.1K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

24%

Marco Rubio

$6.3K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

<1%

$223K Vol.

$42.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

67%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$7M Vol.

$77.4K today

$2M Liq.

100

Ends in 8 months

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

81%

Delcy Rodríguez

$8.5K Vol.

$516K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

9%

$1M Vol.

$110K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

4%

$52.9K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

63%

7

$73.4K Vol.

$44.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 4 months

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

46%

32–35

$31.7K Vol.

$39.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

38%

44+

$55.4K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

46%

54

$65.6K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

57%

Keith Sonderling

$40.4K Vol.

$91.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

32%

2

$2.8K Vol.

$59.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

77%

Thomas Massie

$672K Vol.

$146K today

$112K Liq.

40

Ends in 12 days

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

Derek Merrin

$46.0K Vol.

2

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 2024 Nomination.

Polymarket currently hosts 253 active markets for 2024 Nomination that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 2024 Nomination predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.