2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

18%

Democrats 6-8%

$29.4K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

8%

June 30

$44.1K Vol.

$90.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

15%

$0 Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

1%

March 31

$54.0K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$0 Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$0 Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

$57.0K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

16%

$10.9K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

57%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$777K Liq.

60

Ends in over 2 years

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

57%

Republican

$147K Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

71%

Republican

$85.1K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Georgia Governor Election Winner

Georgia Governor Election Winner

56%

Democrat

$30.0K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Ohio Senate Election Winner

54%

Democrat

$58.3K Vol.

$49.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

95%

Republican

$6.5K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Michigan Governor Election Winner

64%

Democrat

$170K Vol.

$53.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Nevada Governor Election Winner

51%

Democrat

$18.2K Vol.

$41.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Maine Senate Election Winner

Maine Senate Election Winner

74%

Democrat

$45.4K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

New Jersey Senate Election Winner

New Jersey Senate Election Winner

93%

Democrat

$7.9K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Ohio Governor Election Winner

54%

Democrat

$68.3K Vol.

$76.1K Liq.

15

Ends in 7 months

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Arizona Governor Election Winner

76%

Democrat

$36.4K Vol.

$45.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 237 active markets for Republicans that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 57% chance to Democratic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Republicans predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.