Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana’s open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines’s March withdrawal and endorsement of Alme, who also secured former President Trump’s backing ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent polling shows Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar by double digits in head-to-head matchups and maintaining sizable advantages in multi-candidate scenarios, consistent with the state’s Republican tilt and absence of Democratic statewide victories since 2018. Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, has raised substantial funds and draws some cross-partisan support as an independent alternative, yet trails in surveys. Democratic candidates, including Reilly Neill, register minimal support amid the party’s structural challenges. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with an upcoming primary and general election on November 3 shaping further movement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트공화당 78%
무소속 16.1%
민주당 1.8%
$76,041 거래량
$76,041 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
78%
무소속
16%
민주당
2%
공화당 78%
무소속 16.1%
민주당 1.8%
$76,041 거래량
$76,041 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$38,419 거래량
78%
무소속
$2,108 거래량
16%
민주당
$35,514 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana’s open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines’s March withdrawal and endorsement of Alme, who also secured former President Trump’s backing ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent polling shows Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar by double digits in head-to-head matchups and maintaining sizable advantages in multi-candidate scenarios, consistent with the state’s Republican tilt and absence of Democratic statewide victories since 2018. Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, has raised substantial funds and draws some cross-partisan support as an independent alternative, yet trails in surveys. Democratic candidates, including Reilly Neill, register minimal support amid the party’s structural challenges. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with an upcoming primary and general election on November 3 shaping further movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$76,041종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana’s open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines’s March withdrawal and endorsement of Alme, who also secured former President Trump’s backing ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent polling shows Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar by double digits in head-to-head matchups and maintaining sizable advantages in multi-candidate scenarios, consistent with the state’s Republican tilt and absence of Democratic statewide victories since 2018. Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, has raised substantial funds and draws some cross-partisan support as an independent alternative, yet trails in surveys. Democratic candidates, including Reilly Neill, register minimal support amid the party’s structural challenges. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with an upcoming primary and general election on November 3 shaping further movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$76,041종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in Montana’s open Senate race following incumbent Steve Daines’s March withdrawal and endorsement of Alme, who also secured former President Trump’s backing ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent polling shows Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar by double digits in head-to-head matchups and maintaining sizable advantages in multi-candidate scenarios, consistent with the state’s Republican tilt and absence of Democratic statewide victories since 2018. Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, has raised substantial funds and draws some cross-partisan support as an independent alternative, yet trails in surveys. Democratic candidates, including Reilly Neill, register minimal support amid the party’s structural challenges. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with an upcoming primary and general election on November 3 shaping further movement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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