2026 중간선거 예측 및 확률

$6.1K 거래량

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

58% 부결 확률

+12.5%

신규

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

85% 부결 확률

+0.5%

신규

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

93% 가결 확률

-0.1%

$3M 거래량

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

81% 부결 확률

-20.5%

$6.1K 거래량

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

58% 부결 확률

+12.5%

신규

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

85% 부결 확률

+0.5%

주요 경선

가장 중요한 마켓

$1M 거래량

AK Governor

59% 공화당

$517K 거래량

TX Senate

50% 민주당

$545K 거래량

ME Senate

65% 민주당

-1%

$338K 거래량

AK Senate

61% 민주당

-1%

$122K 거래량

IA Senate

59% 공화당

-0%

$1M 거래량

AK Governor

59% 공화당

$517K 거래량

TX Senate

50% 민주당

$545K 거래량

ME Senate

65% 민주당

-1%

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

모든 경선

519 마켓

경선

주

유력

등급

50개 마켓 중 25개 표시

2026 중간선거 확률

2026 중간선거 확률 — 실시간 예측 마켓 확률
마켓	유력 후보 및 지명자	실시간 마켓 확률
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	88%
	Steve Hilton	10%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	30%
	Bernadette Wilson	25%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	16%
	Treg Taylor	7%
	Click Bishop	5%
	David Bronson	5%
	Bill Walker	3%
	Shelley Hughes	1%
	Lisa Murkowski	1%
	Gregg Brelsford	1%
	Destry J. Payne Sr.	1%
	Nancy Dahlstrom	1%
	Lesil McGuire	1%
	Jessica Faircloth	1%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	66%
	Republican	35%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	43%
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jay Feely	69%
	Joseph Chaplik	42%
	Brandon Sowers	24%
	John Trobough	18%
	Muchelle Ugenti-Rita	14%
	Matt Gress	13%
	Kari Lake	13%
	Gina Swoboda	7%
	Derrick Gallego	2%
	Kaitlin Purrington	2%
	Todd Graham	1%
	Paul Reevs	1%
	Jason Duey	1%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Micah Lasher	64%
	Alex Bores	37%
	Jack Schlossberg	2%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	95%
	Dan Bilzerian	3%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	83%
	Republican	15%
	Independent	3%
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Claire Valdez	79%
	Antonio Reynoso	21%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	60%
	Democrat	41%
OK-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jackson Lahmeyer	66%
	Mark Tedford	30%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Republican	54%
	Democrat	43%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Sherrod Brown (D)	55%
	Jon Husted (R)	43%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	74%
	Independent	23%
	Democrat	1%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Roy Cooper (D)	84%
	Michael Whatley (R)	16%
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner	Cait Conley	75%
	Beth Davidson	22%
	Effie Phillips-Staley	2%
	Mike Sacks	2%
	John Cappello	2%
	Peter Chatzky	2%
	Jessica Reinmann	2%
	John Sullivan	2%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Lamb	46%
	Travis Grantham	17%
	Jay Feely	3%
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Ben McAdams	87%
	Nate Blouin	14%
	Liban Mohamed	1%
	Luz Escamilla	1%
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Darializa Avila Chevalier	54%
	Adriano Espaillat	47%
Arizona Governor Election Winner	Democrat	79%
	Republican	23%
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner	Ritchie Torres	97%
	Michael Blake	3%
	Dalourny Nemorin	1%
Georgia Governor Election Winner	Democrat	56%
	Republican	44%
Kansas Senate Election Winner	Republican	81%
	Democrat	19%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	85%
	Republican	14%
ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Joe Baldacci	69%
	Matthew Dunlap	53%
	Jordan Wood	39%
	Paige Loud	3%
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Ilhan Omar	89%
	Latonya Reeves	9%
CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Manny Rutinel	65%
	Shannon Bird	34%
	John Szemler	2%
	Amie Baca-Oehlert	1%
Nevada Governor Election Winner	Democrat	53%
	Republican	45%
MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Adrian Boafo	76%
	Harry Dunn	14%
	Quincy Bareebe	5%
	Harold Tolbert	5%
	Alexis Solis	3%
	Dave Sundberg	2%
	Heather Luper	2%
	Wala Blegay	2%
	Walter Kirkland	2%
	Jerry Lightfoot	1%
	Rushern Baker III	1%
	Tracy Starr	1%
	Elldwnia English	1%
	Reuben Collins II	1%
Florida Governor Election Winner	Republican	78%
	Democrat	23%
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner	John Cowan	82%
	Rob Adkerson	7%
MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner	April McClain Delaney	80%
	David Trone	20%
	Kiambo White	1%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Howard Steven Rance	40%
	Jorge Malavet	39%
	Thomas Chalifoux	39%
	Marcus Carter	28%
	Justin Story	10%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Bridget Brink	81%
	William Lawrence	10%
	Matt Maasdam	7%
	Josh Cowen	2%
	Elyon Badger	2%
	Alexandra Prieditis	1%
	Muhammad Salman Rais	1%
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Stefany Shaheen	80%
	Maura Sullivan	28%
	Heath Howard	27%
	Carleigh Beriont	3%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Cori Bush	44%
	Wesley Bell	43%
MI-10 Republican Primary Winner	Mike Bouchard	70%
	Casey Armitage	23%
	Robert Lulgjuraj	22%
	Justin Kirk	1%
	Steven Elliott	1%
VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Elaine Luria	96%
	Matt Strickler	14%
	James Osyf	10%
	Burk Stringfellow	4%
	Nicolaus Sleister	4%
CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Diana DeGette	61%
	Melat Kiros	39%
	Carter Hanson	7%
	Christopher Oldfield	4%
	Tiffany Rodgers	2%
	Wanda James	1%
CO-03 Republican Primary Winner	Jeff Hurd	97%
	Hope Scheppelman	2%
NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Grace Meng	89%
	Charles Park	9%
	Yan Xiong	1%
SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Nancy Lacore	47%
	Mac Deford	21%
	Ben Frasier	18%
	Max Diaz	8%
	Francina Dantzler	1%
	Matt Fulmer	1%
OK-03 Republican Primary Winner	Frank Lucas	97%
	Wade Burleson	3%
MO-06 Republican Primary Winner	Chris Stigall	57%
	Cody Oshel	31%
	James Ingram	25%
	Nathan Willett	20%
	Gena Ross	8%
	Nathanael Schultz	7%
Oregon Senate Election Winner	Democrat	93%
	Republican	7%
NY-21 Republican Primary Winner	Anthony Constantino	78%
	Robert Smullen	21%
UT-03 Republican Primary Winner	Celeste Maloy	85%
	Phil Lyman	13%
MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Schwartz	78%
	George Walsh	17%
	Randi White	2%
	Victor Guidice	1%
MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Glenn Ivey	100%
	Shavonne Hedgepeth	50%
	Jakeya Johnson	50%
	Jonathan White	49%
	Joseph Gomes	49%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	19%

88%

Steve Hilton

10%

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

30%

Bernadette Wilson

25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

66%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

35%

56%

James Talarico (D)

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner Jay Feely

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Micah Lasher

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

95%

Dan Bilzerian

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez

79%

Antonio Reynoso

21%

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

60%

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner Jackson Lahmeyer

41%

66%

Mark Tedford

30%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican

54%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Sherrod Brown (D)

55%

Jon Husted (R)

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Roy Cooper (D)

84%

Michael Whatley (R)

16%

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner Cait Conley

75%

Beth Davidson

22%

Effie Phillips-Staley

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Mark Lamb

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner Ben McAdams

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner Darializa Avila Chevalier

54%

Adriano Espaillat

47%

Arizona Governor Election Winner Democrat

79%

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner Ritchie Torres

23%

97%

Michael Blake

Dalourny Nemorin

Georgia Governor Election Winner Democrat

56%

Kansas Senate Election Winner Republican

44%

81%

Georgia Senate Election Winner Democrat

19%

85%

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner Joe Baldacci

14%

MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner Ilhan Omar

89%

Latonya Reeves

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner Manny Rutinel

Nevada Governor Election Winner Democrat

53%

MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner Adrian Boafo

45%

Florida Governor Election Winner Republican

78%

GA-11 Republican Primary Winner John Cowan

23%

82%

Rob Adkerson

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner April McClain Delaney

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Howard Steven Rance

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner Bridget Brink

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner Stefany Shaheen

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Cori Bush

44%

Wesley Bell

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner Mike Bouchard

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner Elaine Luria

CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Diana DeGette

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner Jeff Hurd

97%

Hope Scheppelman

NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner Grace Meng

89%

Charles Park

Yan Xiong

SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner Nancy Lacore

OK-03 Republican Primary Winner Frank Lucas

97%

Wade Burleson

MO-06 Republican Primary Winner Chris Stigall

Oregon Senate Election Winner Democrat

93%