Florida's status as a solidly Republican state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994 and Donald Trump carried the state by 13 points in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory in the November 2026 contest. With term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis leaving an open seat, the August 18 primary will determine the nominee, and recent polls show U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leading the Republican field after early Trump endorsement, well ahead of other contenders. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, with general election matchups reflecting consistent double-digit advantages for likely GOP nominees over Democratic options. Primary outcomes and any late shifts in candidate positioning before November remain the main variables that could influence final probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,031 거래량
$19,031 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
80%
민주당
19%
$19,031 거래량
$19,031 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$7,330 거래량
80%
민주당
$11,700 거래량
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a solidly Republican state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994 and Donald Trump carried the state by 13 points in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory in the November 2026 contest. With term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis leaving an open seat, the August 18 primary will determine the nominee, and recent polls show U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leading the Republican field after early Trump endorsement, well ahead of other contenders. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, with general election matchups reflecting consistent double-digit advantages for likely GOP nominees over Democratic options. Primary outcomes and any late shifts in candidate positioning before November remain the main variables that could influence final probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
거래량
$19,031종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a solidly Republican state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994 and Donald Trump carried the state by 13 points in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory in the November 2026 contest. With term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis leaving an open seat, the August 18 primary will determine the nominee, and recent polls show U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leading the Republican field after early Trump endorsement, well ahead of other contenders. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, with general election matchups reflecting consistent double-digit advantages for likely GOP nominees over Democratic options. Primary outcomes and any late shifts in candidate positioning before November remain the main variables that could influence final probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$19,031종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's status as a solidly Republican state, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1994 and Donald Trump carried the state by 13 points in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory in the November 2026 contest. With term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis leaving an open seat, the August 18 primary will determine the nominee, and recent polls show U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leading the Republican field after early Trump endorsement, well ahead of other contenders. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, with general election matchups reflecting consistent double-digit advantages for likely GOP nominees over Democratic options. Primary outcomes and any late shifts in candidate positioning before November remain the main variables that could influence final probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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