With incumbent Rep. Jared Golden not seeking reelection in Maine's 2nd Congressional District, the open Democratic primary on June 9 remains closely contested, as trader consensus gives state Sen. Joe Baldacci a 50.5% implied probability lead, buoyed by his 36% showing in the March Pan Atlantic Omnibus Poll and name recognition from brother John Baldacci's prior service in the seat and as governor. State Auditor Matthew Dunlap holds 28%, leveraging his early entry and progressive pledges on Medicare for All amid a recent internal poll claim of his lead. Jordan Wood trails at 21.5% despite topping Q1 fundraising at $810K reported April 16, underscoring polling's edge over cash in bettor assessments ahead of ranked-choice tabulation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트조 발다치 52%
매튜 던랩 28%
조던 우드 22%
자레드 골든 1.8%
$10,811 거래량
$10,811 거래량
2026.06.09
조 발다치
52%
매튜 던랩
28%
조던 우드
22%
자레드 골든
2%
조 발다치 52%
매튜 던랩 28%
조던 우드 22%
자레드 골든 1.8%
$10,811 거래량
$10,811 거래량
2026.06.09
조 발다치
$3,293 거래량
52%
매튜 던랩
$3,092 거래량
28%
조던 우드
$1,879 거래량
22%
자레드 골든
$2,547 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With incumbent Rep. Jared Golden not seeking reelection in Maine's 2nd Congressional District, the open Democratic primary on June 9 remains closely contested, as trader consensus gives state Sen. Joe Baldacci a 50.5% implied probability lead, buoyed by his 36% showing in the March Pan Atlantic Omnibus Poll and name recognition from brother John Baldacci's prior service in the seat and as governor. State Auditor Matthew Dunlap holds 28%, leveraging his early entry and progressive pledges on Medicare for All amid a recent internal poll claim of his lead. Jordan Wood trails at 21.5% despite topping Q1 fundraising at $810K reported April 16, underscoring polling's edge over cash in bettor assessments ahead of ranked-choice tabulation.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
거래량
$10,811종료일
2026.06.09마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With incumbent Rep. Jared Golden not seeking reelection in Maine's 2nd Congressional District, the open Democratic primary on June 9 remains closely contested, as trader consensus gives state Sen. Joe Baldacci a 50.5% implied probability lead, buoyed by his 36% showing in the March Pan Atlantic Omnibus Poll and name recognition from brother John Baldacci's prior service in the seat and as governor. State Auditor Matthew Dunlap holds 28%, leveraging his early entry and progressive pledges on Medicare for All amid a recent internal poll claim of his lead. Jordan Wood trails at 21.5% despite topping Q1 fundraising at $810K reported April 16, underscoring polling's edge over cash in bettor assessments ahead of ranked-choice tabulation.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$10,811종료일
2026.06.09마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With incumbent Rep. Jared Golden not seeking reelection in Maine's 2nd Congressional District, the open Democratic primary on June 9 remains closely contested, as trader consensus gives state Sen. Joe Baldacci a 50.5% implied probability lead, buoyed by his 36% showing in the March Pan Atlantic Omnibus Poll and name recognition from brother John Baldacci's prior service in the seat and as governor. State Auditor Matthew Dunlap holds 28%, leveraging his early entry and progressive pledges on Medicare for All amid a recent internal poll claim of his lead. Jordan Wood trails at 21.5% despite topping Q1 fundraising at $810K reported April 16, underscoring polling's edge over cash in bettor assessments ahead of ranked-choice tabulation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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