Recent polls project the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, at 42-43% support for the May 17 Andalusian parliamentary election, translating to 53-57 seats in the 109-seat chamber where 55 secures absolute majority. Averages from surveys like IMOP Insights (April 16) and CIS Andaluz (published April 14) place PP on the edge, with PSOE collapsing to historic lows around 23% (27-29 seats) and Vox holding 15-20 seats amid moderated gains. Moreno's snap election call on March 23 leverages his strong approval (5.5/10), but right-wing vote fragmentation and seat remainder uncertainties fuel trader consensus favoring "No" absolute majority, highlighting the closely contested threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
신규
신규
2026.05.17
예
신규
신규
2026.05.17
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls project the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, at 42-43% support for the May 17 Andalusian parliamentary election, translating to 53-57 seats in the 109-seat chamber where 55 secures absolute majority. Averages from surveys like IMOP Insights (April 16) and CIS Andaluz (published April 14) place PP on the edge, with PSOE collapsing to historic lows around 23% (27-29 seats) and Vox holding 15-20 seats amid moderated gains. Moreno's snap election call on March 23 leverages his strong approval (5.5/10), but right-wing vote fragmentation and seat remainder uncertainties fuel trader consensus favoring "No" absolute majority, highlighting the closely contested threshold.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
거래량
$65종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls project the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, at 42-43% support for the May 17 Andalusian parliamentary election, translating to 53-57 seats in the 109-seat chamber where 55 secures absolute majority. Averages from surveys like IMOP Insights (April 16) and CIS Andaluz (published April 14) place PP on the edge, with PSOE collapsing to historic lows around 23% (27-29 seats) and Vox holding 15-20 seats amid moderated gains. Moreno's snap election call on March 23 leverages his strong approval (5.5/10), but right-wing vote fragmentation and seat remainder uncertainties fuel trader consensus favoring "No" absolute majority, highlighting the closely contested threshold.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
거래량
$65종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls project the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, at 42-43% support for the May 17 Andalusian parliamentary election, translating to 53-57 seats in the 109-seat chamber where 55 secures absolute majority. Averages from surveys like IMOP Insights (April 16) and CIS Andaluz (published April 14) place PP on the edge, with PSOE collapsing to historic lows around 23% (27-29 seats) and Vox holding 15-20 seats amid moderated gains. Moreno's snap election call on March 23 leverages his strong approval (5.5/10), but right-wing vote fragmentation and seat remainder uncertainties fuel trader consensus favoring "No" absolute majority, highlighting the closely contested threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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