The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the PP in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the absolute majority threshold, confirming the outcome after final vote counts. This result followed a five-seat decline from the party's 2022 performance and reflected stronger-than-expected combined opposition support, particularly from Vox at 15 seats. With official tallies complete and no material disputes reported, traders assign near-certain probability against an absolute majority. Late-stage shifts remain possible only through highly improbable events such as widespread recounts altering seat allocations or successful legal challenges to certified results.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$26,562 거래량
$26,562 거래량
예
$26,562 거래량
$26,562 거래량
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the PP in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the absolute majority threshold, confirming the outcome after final vote counts. This result followed a five-seat decline from the party's 2022 performance and reflected stronger-than-expected combined opposition support, particularly from Vox at 15 seats. With official tallies complete and no material disputes reported, traders assign near-certain probability against an absolute majority. Late-stage shifts remain possible only through highly improbable events such as widespread recounts altering seat allocations or successful legal challenges to certified results.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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