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2028년 공화당 대통령 후보

Market icon

2028년 공화당 대통령 후보

J.D. 밴스 41.3%

마르코 루비오 14.7%

도널드 트럼프 2.4%

도널드 트럼프 주니어 2.3%

Polymarket

$336,693,547 Vol.

J.D. 밴스 41.3%

마르코 루비오 14.7%

도널드 트럼프 2.4%

도널드 트럼프 주니어 2.3%

Polymarket

$336,693,547 Vol.

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J.D. 밴스

$4,657,684 Vol.

41%

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마르코 루비오

$4,637,709 Vol.

15%

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도널드 트럼프

$4,503,507 Vol.

2%

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도널드 트럼프 주니어

$3,250,257 Vol.

2%

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론 드산티스

$3,725,636 Vol.

2%

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테드 크루즈

$6,907,010 Vol.

2%

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일론 머스크

$18,160,472 Vol.

2%

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랜드 폴

$11,938,271 Vol.

2%

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브라이언 켐프

$7,113,990 Vol.

2%

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토마스 매시

$997,495 Vol.

2%

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툴시 개버드

$7,497,778 Vol.

1%

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글렌 영킨

$3,760,251 Vol.

1%

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비벡 라마스와미

$10,503,561 Vol.

1%

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터커 칼슨

$2,527,272 Vol.

1%

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마조리 테일러 그린

$2,224,391 Vol.

1%

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조쉬 홀리

$11,373,302 Vol.

1%

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이반카 트럼프

$3,514,905 Vol.

1%

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매트 게이츠

$13,196,418 Vol.

1%

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니키 헤일리

$4,841,215 Vol.

1%

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사라 허커비 샌더스

$18,226,656 Vol.

1%

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그렉 애벗

$13,038,483 Vol.

1%

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로버트 F. 케네디 주니어

$8,825,610 Vol.

1%

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톰 브래디

$20,297,860 Vol.

1%

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에리카 커크

$5,450,612 Vol.

1%

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마이크 펜스

$25,088,766 Vol.

1%

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킴 카다시안

$17,714,865 Vol.

1%

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바이런 도널즈

$14,735,534 Vol.

1%

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엘리스 스테파닉

$15,899,845 Vol.

1%

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케이티 브릿

$20,068,220 Vol.

1%

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존 튠

$21,435,250 Vol.

1%

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크리스티 노엄

$19,865,699 Vol.

1%

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스티브 배넌

$9,557,811 Vol.

1%

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에릭 트럼프

$1,157,289 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
볼륨
$336,693,547
종료일
Nov 7, 2028
생성일
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028년 공화당 대통령 후보" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. 밴스" at 41%, followed by "마르코 루비오" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028년 공화당 대통령 후보" has generated $336.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028년 공화당 대통령 후보," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028년 공화당 대통령 후보" is "J.D. 밴스" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "마르코 루비오" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028년 공화당 대통령 후보" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.