Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Nicolás Maduro as the leading candidate at 57% to remain Venezuela's head of state by December 31, 2026, despite his January 3 capture by US forces and ongoing detention awaiting trial on drug trafficking charges. This reflects doubts about a lasting power shift, bolstered by regime resilience and potential diplomatic resolutions under US President Trump, who has eased sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez (24%). Recent April developments, including Rodríguez's purge of Maduro loyalists like defense chief Vladimir Padrino López and military high command overhaul, have solidified her interim control at 24.5%, signaling continuity amid no elections scheduled. Opposition figure María Corina Machado (8.5%) gains traction via pro-US transition advocacy, though institutional barriers persist in this contested post-intervention landscape.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트니콜라스 마두로 58.5%
델시 로드리게스 25%
마리아 코리나 마차도 9%
호르헤 로드리게스 1.4%
$83,987,110 거래량
$83,987,110 거래량
2026.12.31
니콜라스 마두로
59%
델시 로드리게스
25%
마리아 코리나 마차도
9%
호르헤 로드리게스
1%
도널드 트럼프
1%
디노라 피게라
1%
블라디미르 파드리노 로페스
1%
국가 원수 없음
1%
에드문도 곤살레스
<1%
디오스다도 카베요 론돈
<1%
마르코 루비오
<1%
에반 페투스
<1%
댄 케인
<1%
피트 헥셋
<1%
프랭크 도노반
<1%
리처드 그레넬
<1%
니콜라스 마두로 58.5%
델시 로드리게스 25%
마리아 코리나 마차도 9%
호르헤 로드리게스 1.4%
$83,987,110 거래량
$83,987,110 거래량
2026.12.31
니콜라스 마두로
$1,238,168 거래량
59%
델시 로드리게스
$1,473,380 거래량
25%
마리아 코리나 마차도
$968,935 거래량
9%
호르헤 로드리게스
$927,283 거래량
1%
도널드 트럼프
$824,146 거래량
1%
디노라 피게라
$2,135,531 거래량
1%
블라디미르 파드리노 로페스
$518,680 거래량
1%
국가 원수 없음
$854,925 거래량
1%
에드문도 곤살레스
$645,965 거래량
<1%
디오스다도 카베요 론돈
$1,391,419 거래량
<1%
마르코 루비오
$727,211 거래량
<1%
에반 페투스
$4,423,942 거래량
<1%
댄 케인
$2,909,846 거래량
<1%
피트 헥셋
$8,321,621 거래량
<1%
프랭크 도노반
$24,892,617 거래량
<1%
리처드 그레넬
$31,733,442 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Nicolás Maduro as the leading candidate at 57% to remain Venezuela's head of state by December 31, 2026, despite his January 3 capture by US forces and ongoing detention awaiting trial on drug trafficking charges. This reflects doubts about a lasting power shift, bolstered by regime resilience and potential diplomatic resolutions under US President Trump, who has eased sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez (24%). Recent April developments, including Rodríguez's purge of Maduro loyalists like defense chief Vladimir Padrino López and military high command overhaul, have solidified her interim control at 24.5%, signaling continuity amid no elections scheduled. Opposition figure María Corina Machado (8.5%) gains traction via pro-US transition advocacy, though institutional barriers persist in this contested post-intervention landscape.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
거래량
$83,987,110종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Nicolás Maduro as the leading candidate at 57% to remain Venezuela's head of state by December 31, 2026, despite his January 3 capture by US forces and ongoing detention awaiting trial on drug trafficking charges. This reflects doubts about a lasting power shift, bolstered by regime resilience and potential diplomatic resolutions under US President Trump, who has eased sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez (24%). Recent April developments, including Rodríguez's purge of Maduro loyalists like defense chief Vladimir Padrino López and military high command overhaul, have solidified her interim control at 24.5%, signaling continuity amid no elections scheduled. Opposition figure María Corina Machado (8.5%) gains traction via pro-US transition advocacy, though institutional barriers persist in this contested post-intervention landscape.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
거래량
$83,987,110종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Nicolás Maduro as the leading candidate at 57% to remain Venezuela's head of state by December 31, 2026, despite his January 3 capture by US forces and ongoing detention awaiting trial on drug trafficking charges. This reflects doubts about a lasting power shift, bolstered by regime resilience and potential diplomatic resolutions under US President Trump, who has eased sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez (24%). Recent April developments, including Rodríguez's purge of Maduro loyalists like defense chief Vladimir Padrino López and military high command overhaul, have solidified her interim control at 24.5%, signaling continuity amid no elections scheduled. Opposition figure María Corina Machado (8.5%) gains traction via pro-US transition advocacy, though institutional barriers persist in this contested post-intervention landscape.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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