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icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
정치·대표의 집

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
정치·대표의 집

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab 83%

Rakhi Israni Singh 16%

Matt Ortega 4.8%

Melissa Hernandez 4.2%

Polymarket
신규

Aisha Wahab 83%

Rakhi Israni Singh 16%

Matt Ortega 4.8%

Melissa Hernandez 4.2%

Polymarket
신규

Aisha Wahab

$290 거래량

83%

Melissa Hernandez

$79 거래량

4%

Wendy Huang

$77 거래량

2%

Carin Elam

$122 거래량

6%

Matt Ortega

$95 거래량

5%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$220 거래량

16%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$64 거래량

3%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.State Sen. Aisha Wahab commands 80% trader consensus as the likely winner of the CA-14 special election, driven by a reported internal poll showing her substantial lead in the June 16 top-two primary, the East Bay Times endorsement on May 7 declaring her the strongest among nine candidates, and $94,000 in recent independent expenditures from labor-backed Committee for Working Families. Following Rep. Eric Swalwell's resignation, Gov. Newsom scheduled the contest for this Democratic East Bay district, where Wahab's incumbency, progressive endorsements from groups like Indivisible East Bay and Our Revolution, and local name recognition position her to potentially exceed the 50% threshold for outright victory. Rakhi Israni Singh holds second at 14.5% with business credentials appealing to moderates, while others trail amid field fragmentation; top-two advance to the August 18 general.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
거래량
$946
종료일
2026.08.18
마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.State Sen. Aisha Wahab commands 80% trader consensus as the likely winner of the CA-14 special election, driven by a reported internal poll showing her substantial lead in the June 16 top-two primary, the East Bay Times endorsement on May 7 declaring her the strongest among nine candidates, and $94,000 in recent independent expenditures from labor-backed Committee for Working Families. Following Rep. Eric Swalwell's resignation, Gov. Newsom scheduled the contest for this Democratic East Bay district, where Wahab's incumbency, progressive endorsements from groups like Indivisible East Bay and Our Revolution, and local name recognition position her to potentially exceed the 50% threshold for outright victory. Rakhi Israni Singh holds second at 14.5% with business credentials appealing to moderates, while others trail amid field fragmentation; top-two advance to the August 18 general.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
거래량
$946
종료일
2026.08.18
마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

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자주 묻는 질문

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?"은 7개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 83%의 "Aisha Wahab"이며, 이어서 17%의 "Rakhi Israni Singh"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 83¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 83%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Apr 16, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 7개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?"의 현재 유력 후보는 83%의 "Aisha Wahab"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 83%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 17%의 "Rakhi Israni Singh"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.