Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2026 midterm House turnout in the 120-130 million vote range, reflecting expectations of modestly higher participation than the 111 million in 2022 amid sustained national polarization following the 2024 presidential contest. Recent polls, including a May CNN analysis and April Emerson survey, highlight a Democratic enthusiasm edge—around 47% "very enthusiastic" versus 28% for Republicans—bolstering odds for elevated totals through stronger left-leaning mobilization in battlegrounds. Yet the tight race between 125-130 million (26.5%) and 120-125 million (20.5%) stems from countervailing GOP registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida, mixed primary turnout signals, and historical midterm volatility tied to economic sentiment and incumbency backlash against President Trump's administration. Shifts could emerge from summer generic ballot polls, key state primaries, or policy developments on immigration and the economy influencing turnout among low-propensity voters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트110-115m 16%
115-120m 14%
120-125m 12%
125-130m 10%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
<85m
<1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
11%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
16%
115-120m
28%
120-125m
27%
125-130m
25%
130m+
10%
110-115m 16%
115-120m 14%
120-125m 12%
125-130m 10%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
<85m
$324 거래량
<1%
85-90m
$419 거래량
<1%
90-95m
$1,552 거래량
1%
95-100m
$269 거래량
11%
100-105m
$791 거래량
1%
105-110m
$436 거래량
6%
110-115m
$526 거래량
16%
115-120m
$1,025 거래량
28%
120-125m
$408 거래량
27%
125-130m
$1,199 거래량
25%
130m+
$294 거래량
10%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2026 midterm House turnout in the 120-130 million vote range, reflecting expectations of modestly higher participation than the 111 million in 2022 amid sustained national polarization following the 2024 presidential contest. Recent polls, including a May CNN analysis and April Emerson survey, highlight a Democratic enthusiasm edge—around 47% "very enthusiastic" versus 28% for Republicans—bolstering odds for elevated totals through stronger left-leaning mobilization in battlegrounds. Yet the tight race between 125-130 million (26.5%) and 120-125 million (20.5%) stems from countervailing GOP registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida, mixed primary turnout signals, and historical midterm volatility tied to economic sentiment and incumbency backlash against President Trump's administration. Shifts could emerge from summer generic ballot polls, key state primaries, or policy developments on immigration and the economy influencing turnout among low-propensity voters.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
거래량
$7,242종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2026 midterm House turnout in the 120-130 million vote range, reflecting expectations of modestly higher participation than the 111 million in 2022 amid sustained national polarization following the 2024 presidential contest. Recent polls, including a May CNN analysis and April Emerson survey, highlight a Democratic enthusiasm edge—around 47% "very enthusiastic" versus 28% for Republicans—bolstering odds for elevated totals through stronger left-leaning mobilization in battlegrounds. Yet the tight race between 125-130 million (26.5%) and 120-125 million (20.5%) stems from countervailing GOP registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida, mixed primary turnout signals, and historical midterm volatility tied to economic sentiment and incumbency backlash against President Trump's administration. Shifts could emerge from summer generic ballot polls, key state primaries, or policy developments on immigration and the economy influencing turnout among low-propensity voters.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
거래량
$7,242종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2026 midterm House turnout in the 120-130 million vote range, reflecting expectations of modestly higher participation than the 111 million in 2022 amid sustained national polarization following the 2024 presidential contest. Recent polls, including a May CNN analysis and April Emerson survey, highlight a Democratic enthusiasm edge—around 47% "very enthusiastic" versus 28% for Republicans—bolstering odds for elevated totals through stronger left-leaning mobilization in battlegrounds. Yet the tight race between 125-130 million (26.5%) and 120-125 million (20.5%) stems from countervailing GOP registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida, mixed primary turnout signals, and historical midterm volatility tied to economic sentiment and incumbency backlash against President Trump's administration. Shifts could emerge from summer generic ballot polls, key state primaries, or policy developments on immigration and the economy influencing turnout among low-propensity voters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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