Civil Contract's dominant trader consensus at 92.5% reflects its consistent lead in recent opinion polls ahead of Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under proportional representation, bolstered by incumbency advantages and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's endorsement as the party's premier candidate. High undecided voter rates around 30% in March surveys have not eroded support, while anti-corruption authorities' April 16 detention of 14 pro-Russian opposition figures from Strong Armenia on alleged electoral violations has weakened challengers like the Armenia Alliance. Scenarios to shift odds include opposition consolidation passing the 5% threshold, a surge among undecideds, or late scandals impacting the ruling party before the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트시빌 컨트랙트 93%
아르메니아 동맹 4.0%
아르메니아 국민회의 1.0%
번영하는 아르메니아 <1%
$107,906 거래량
$107,906 거래량

시빌 컨트랙트
93%

아르메니아 동맹
4%

아르메니아 국민회의
1%

번영하는 아르메니아
1%

명예 동맹
1%

오리나츠 예르키르
<1%

헤리티지
<1%

한라페투튠당
<1%

밝은 아르메니아
<1%
시빌 컨트랙트 93%
아르메니아 동맹 4.0%
아르메니아 국민회의 1.0%
번영하는 아르메니아 <1%
$107,906 거래량
$107,906 거래량

시빌 컨트랙트
93%

아르메니아 동맹
4%

아르메니아 국민회의
1%

번영하는 아르메니아
1%

명예 동맹
1%

오리나츠 예르키르
<1%

헤리티지
<1%

한라페투튠당
<1%

밝은 아르메니아
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's dominant trader consensus at 92.5% reflects its consistent lead in recent opinion polls ahead of Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under proportional representation, bolstered by incumbency advantages and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's endorsement as the party's premier candidate. High undecided voter rates around 30% in March surveys have not eroded support, while anti-corruption authorities' April 16 detention of 14 pro-Russian opposition figures from Strong Armenia on alleged electoral violations has weakened challengers like the Armenia Alliance. Scenarios to shift odds include opposition consolidation passing the 5% threshold, a surge among undecideds, or late scandals impacting the ruling party before the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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