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2026년 헝가리 국회의원 선거 투표율

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2026년 헝가리 국회의원 선거 투표율

77~80% 100.0%

65% 미만 <1%

65–68% <1%

68~71% <1%

Polymarket

$1,423,073 거래량

77~80% 100.0%

65% 미만 <1%

65–68% <1%

68~71% <1%

Polymarket

$1,423,073 거래량

2026년 헝가리 총선에서 투표율이 65% 미만일까요? icon

65% 미만

$96,982 거래량

아니오

2026년 헝가리 총선의 투표율이 65–68%가 될까요? icon

65–68%

$55,478 거래량

아니오

2026년 헝가리 총선의 투표율이 68~71%가 될까요? icon

68~71%

$136,655 거래량

아니오

2026년 헝가리 총선에서 투표율이 71~74%가 될까요? icon

71~74%

$131,973 거래량

아니오

2026년 헝가리 의회 선거에서 투표율이 74~77%가 될까요? icon

74~77%

$314,699 거래량

아니오

2026년 헝가리 총선에서 투표율이 77~80%가 될까요? icon

77~80%

$280,554 거래량

2026년 헝가리 총선에서 투표율이 80%를 넘을까요? icon

80% 이상

$406,732 거래량

아니오

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election produced record voter turnout of 79.6%, as certified by near-final tallies from the National Electoral Office with 99.8% of votes counted, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 77–80% bin. Progressive updates on election day revealed unprecedented participation—74% by 5 p.m. and 77.8% by polls' close—fueled by intense mobilization in a high-stakes race where Péter Magyar's Tisza party unseated Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years, surpassing historical norms of 60–70%. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game certainty on official results; only improbable late adjustments from overseas ballots or recounts could shift odds, with none reported amid clean EU-monitored counts.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
거래량
$1,423,073
종료일
2026.04.12
마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

결과 제안됨: 아니오

이의 없음

최종 결과: 아니오

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election produced record voter turnout of 79.6%, as certified by near-final tallies from the National Electoral Office with 99.8% of votes counted, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 77–80% bin. Progressive updates on election day revealed unprecedented participation—74% by 5 p.m. and 77.8% by polls' close—fueled by intense mobilization in a high-stakes race where Péter Magyar's Tisza party unseated Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years, surpassing historical norms of 60–70%. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game certainty on official results; only improbable late adjustments from overseas ballots or recounts could shift odds, with none reported amid clean EU-monitored counts.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
거래량
$1,423,073
종료일
2026.04.12
마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

결과 제안됨: 아니오

이의 없음

최종 결과: 아니오

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"2026년 헝가리 국회의원 선거 투표율"은 7개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 100%의 "77~80%"이며, 이어서 0%의 "65% 미만"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 100¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "2026년 헝가리 국회의원 선거 투표율"은 총 $1.4 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 13, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"2026년 헝가리 국회의원 선거 투표율"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 7개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"2026년 헝가리 국회의원 선거 투표율"의 현재 유력 후보는 100%의 "77~80%"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 0%의 "65% 미만"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"2026년 헝가리 국회의원 선거 투표율"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.