Republican congressional majorities have repeatedly blocked Democratic-led impeachment resolutions in 2025 and 2026, preventing any path to Senate conviction that would require a two-thirds supermajority. President Trump continues to issue executive orders, negotiate legislation, and direct foreign policy without interruption as of mid-2026, with no reported health incapacity or resignation signals that would trigger the 25th Amendment or voluntary departure. Recent tensions over Iran produced isolated calls for removal proceedings, yet these efforts stalled along party lines. Traders price the 90.5% probability on continuation through 2026 because institutional barriers, including midterm dynamics and historical patterns of partisan Senate votes on removal, have held firm despite periodic opposition efforts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$8,934,404 거래량
$8,934,404 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$8,934,404 거래량
$8,934,404 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican congressional majorities have repeatedly blocked Democratic-led impeachment resolutions in 2025 and 2026, preventing any path to Senate conviction that would require a two-thirds supermajority. President Trump continues to issue executive orders, negotiate legislation, and direct foreign policy without interruption as of mid-2026, with no reported health incapacity or resignation signals that would trigger the 25th Amendment or voluntary departure. Recent tensions over Iran produced isolated calls for removal proceedings, yet these efforts stalled along party lines. Traders price the 90.5% probability on continuation through 2026 because institutional barriers, including midterm dynamics and historical patterns of partisan Senate votes on removal, have held firm despite periodic opposition efforts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
거래량
$8,934,404종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican congressional majorities have repeatedly blocked Democratic-led impeachment resolutions in 2025 and 2026, preventing any path to Senate conviction that would require a two-thirds supermajority. President Trump continues to issue executive orders, negotiate legislation, and direct foreign policy without interruption as of mid-2026, with no reported health incapacity or resignation signals that would trigger the 25th Amendment or voluntary departure. Recent tensions over Iran produced isolated calls for removal proceedings, yet these efforts stalled along party lines. Traders price the 90.5% probability on continuation through 2026 because institutional barriers, including midterm dynamics and historical patterns of partisan Senate votes on removal, have held firm despite periodic opposition efforts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$8,934,504종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican congressional majorities have repeatedly blocked Democratic-led impeachment resolutions in 2025 and 2026, preventing any path to Senate conviction that would require a two-thirds supermajority. President Trump continues to issue executive orders, negotiate legislation, and direct foreign policy without interruption as of mid-2026, with no reported health incapacity or resignation signals that would trigger the 25th Amendment or voluntary departure. Recent tensions over Iran produced isolated calls for removal proceedings, yet these efforts stalled along party lines. Traders price the 90.5% probability on continuation through 2026 because institutional barriers, including midterm dynamics and historical patterns of partisan Senate votes on removal, have held firm despite periodic opposition efforts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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