The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 was triggered by Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to contest the seat and qualify for any future party leadership contest. Traders price Burnham as the heavy favorite at 73.5 percent because of his strong local recognition, incumbency advantages as mayor, and Labour’s organizational resources in the constituency. Reform UK candidate Robert Kenyon at 24.5 percent benefits from the party’s recent local election gains in the area and national momentum on cost-of-living and immigration issues, though early constituency polling shows Burnham’s personal vote narrowing the gap. Minor-party and independent candidates remain marginal given the two-way contest dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Andy Burnham 74%
Robert Kenyon 25%
레베카 셰퍼드 2.8%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,111,425 거래량
$2,111,425 거래량
Andy Burnham
74%
Robert Kenyon
25%
레베카 셰퍼드
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Andy Burnham 74%
Robert Kenyon 25%
레베카 셰퍼드 2.8%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,111,425 거래량
$2,111,425 거래량
Andy Burnham
74%
Robert Kenyon
25%
레베카 셰퍼드
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 was triggered by Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to contest the seat and qualify for any future party leadership contest. Traders price Burnham as the heavy favorite at 73.5 percent because of his strong local recognition, incumbency advantages as mayor, and Labour’s organizational resources in the constituency. Reform UK candidate Robert Kenyon at 24.5 percent benefits from the party’s recent local election gains in the area and national momentum on cost-of-living and immigration issues, though early constituency polling shows Burnham’s personal vote narrowing the gap. Minor-party and independent candidates remain marginal given the two-way contest dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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