Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 76.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Busan mayoral election, with incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon trailing at 21%, reflecting early post-nomination polls showing Chun leading by 8-10 points—such as News1's April 17 survey (49.9%-41.2%) and JTBC's April 14 results (45%-35%). Key drivers include Chun's April 9 primary victory over Lee Jae-sung, clearance in a bribery probe on April 10, and pledges to revive Busan's maritime capital vision amid national Democratic momentum. Park secured his nomination April 11 seeking a third term, but conservative base consolidation has narrowed the gap slightly. Other candidates hold negligible odds post-primaries, with the race hinging on turnout in this traditional conservative stronghold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트천제수 77%
박형준 21%
최인호 <1%
이재성 <1%
$449,658 거래량
$449,658 거래량
천제수
77%
박형준
21%
최인호
<1%
이재성
<1%
홍순헌
<1%
김도읍
<1%
조국
<1%
조경태
<1%
박성훈
<1%
박재호
<1%
서병수
<1%
김영춘
<1%
천제수 77%
박형준 21%
최인호 <1%
이재성 <1%
$449,658 거래량
$449,658 거래량
천제수
77%
박형준
21%
최인호
<1%
이재성
<1%
홍순헌
<1%
김도읍
<1%
조국
<1%
조경태
<1%
박성훈
<1%
박재호
<1%
서병수
<1%
김영춘
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 76.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Busan mayoral election, with incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon trailing at 21%, reflecting early post-nomination polls showing Chun leading by 8-10 points—such as News1's April 17 survey (49.9%-41.2%) and JTBC's April 14 results (45%-35%). Key drivers include Chun's April 9 primary victory over Lee Jae-sung, clearance in a bribery probe on April 10, and pledges to revive Busan's maritime capital vision amid national Democratic momentum. Park secured his nomination April 11 seeking a third term, but conservative base consolidation has narrowed the gap slightly. Other candidates hold negligible odds post-primaries, with the race hinging on turnout in this traditional conservative stronghold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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