Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat holds a commanding 70.5% trader consensus in the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by incumbency advantages, a first-quarter fundraising edge over challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, and endorsements from unions and Stonewall Democrats of NYC. Avila Chevalier, at 29.5%, benefits from DSA and Justice Democrats backing amid progressive pushback on Espaillat's record, but her internal late-April poll showing a 42-28 lead gap has been discounted by markets favoring historical primary win rates for sitting House members exceeding 90%. Recent ballot challenges and scrutiny over Avila's protest-linked donations have steadied Espaillat's position, with other candidates trailing far behind in this Manhattan-Bronx battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트애드리아노 에스파이야트 71%
다리아리자 아빌라 셰발리에 30%
오스카 로메로 <1%
테오 치노-타바레즈 <1%
$22,225 거래량
$22,225 거래량
애드리아노 에스파이야트
71%
다리아리자 아빌라 셰발리에
30%
오스카 로메로
1%
테오 치노-타바레즈
<1%
메건 로드리게즈
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
맷 밀러
<1%
애드리아노 에스파이야트 71%
다리아리자 아빌라 셰발리에 30%
오스카 로메로 <1%
테오 치노-타바레즈 <1%
$22,225 거래량
$22,225 거래량
애드리아노 에스파이야트
71%
다리아리자 아빌라 셰발리에
30%
오스카 로메로
1%
테오 치노-타바레즈
<1%
메건 로드리게즈
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
맷 밀러
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat holds a commanding 70.5% trader consensus in the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by incumbency advantages, a first-quarter fundraising edge over challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, and endorsements from unions and Stonewall Democrats of NYC. Avila Chevalier, at 29.5%, benefits from DSA and Justice Democrats backing amid progressive pushback on Espaillat's record, but her internal late-April poll showing a 42-28 lead gap has been discounted by markets favoring historical primary win rates for sitting House members exceeding 90%. Recent ballot challenges and scrutiny over Avila's protest-linked donations have steadied Espaillat's position, with other candidates trailing far behind in this Manhattan-Bronx battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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