Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine commands 84.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his dominant 83% win in the 2025 special election primary, fundraising lead reported mid-April, and the district's Solid Republican rating amid Trump +30 margins. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian surged to 8.9% after filing in early April with America First attacks on Fine's pro-Israel stance, but his Las Vegas residency and controversial persona limit appeal. Grassroots candidate Aaron Baker holds 3.6% on local organizing, amplified by a heated May 14 social media feud with Bilzerian exposing vote-splitting risks. No polls yet; filing deadline June 12 precedes August 18 primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트랜디 파인 85%
댄 빌저리언 8.8%
아론 베이커 3.6%
알렉산드라 반 클리프 <1%
$148,075 거래량
$148,075 거래량
2026.08.18
랜디 파인
85%
댄 빌저리언
9%
아론 베이커
4%
알렉산드라 반 클리프
<1%
조슈아 바스케스
<1%
찰스 감바로
<1%
Ernest Audino
<1%
랜디 파인 85%
댄 빌저리언 8.8%
아론 베이커 3.6%
알렉산드라 반 클리프 <1%
$148,075 거래량
$148,075 거래량
2026.08.18
랜디 파인
$15,754 거래량
85%
댄 빌저리언
$48,356 거래량
9%
아론 베이커
$15,639 거래량
4%
알렉산드라 반 클리프
$27,835 거래량
<1%
조슈아 바스케스
$9,954 거래량
<1%
찰스 감바로
$11,389 거래량
<1%
Ernest Audino
$19,148 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine commands 84.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his dominant 83% win in the 2025 special election primary, fundraising lead reported mid-April, and the district's Solid Republican rating amid Trump +30 margins. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian surged to 8.9% after filing in early April with America First attacks on Fine's pro-Israel stance, but his Las Vegas residency and controversial persona limit appeal. Grassroots candidate Aaron Baker holds 3.6% on local organizing, amplified by a heated May 14 social media feud with Bilzerian exposing vote-splitting risks. No polls yet; filing deadline June 12 precedes August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
거래량
$148,075종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine commands 84.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his dominant 83% win in the 2025 special election primary, fundraising lead reported mid-April, and the district's Solid Republican rating amid Trump +30 margins. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian surged to 8.9% after filing in early April with America First attacks on Fine's pro-Israel stance, but his Las Vegas residency and controversial persona limit appeal. Grassroots candidate Aaron Baker holds 3.6% on local organizing, amplified by a heated May 14 social media feud with Bilzerian exposing vote-splitting risks. No polls yet; filing deadline June 12 precedes August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$148,075종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine commands 84.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his dominant 83% win in the 2025 special election primary, fundraising lead reported mid-April, and the district's Solid Republican rating amid Trump +30 margins. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian surged to 8.9% after filing in early April with America First attacks on Fine's pro-Israel stance, but his Las Vegas residency and controversial persona limit appeal. Grassroots candidate Aaron Baker holds 3.6% on local organizing, amplified by a heated May 14 social media feud with Bilzerian exposing vote-splitting risks. No polls yet; filing deadline June 12 precedes August 18 primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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