Randy Fine's position as the incumbent Republican representative, following his 2025 special election victory, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the August 18, 2026, primary in Florida's 6th Congressional District. His substantial fundraising lead, endorsements from President Trump and local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have constrained challengers including Dan Bilzerian and Aaron Baker. The solidly Republican district and Fine's early organizational edge further reinforce this outlook. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected surges in challenger visibility could still alter probabilities before primary voting concludes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트랜디 파인 96%
댄 빌저리언 3.5%
아론 베이커 <1%
알렉산드라 반 클리프 <1%
$173,758 거래량
$173,758 거래량
2026.08.18
랜디 파인
96%
댄 빌저리언
3%
아론 베이커
1%
알렉산드라 반 클리프
<1%
찰스 감바로
<1%
조슈아 바스케스
<1%
Ernest Audino
<1%
랜디 파인 96%
댄 빌저리언 3.5%
아론 베이커 <1%
알렉산드라 반 클리프 <1%
$173,758 거래량
$173,758 거래량
2026.08.18
랜디 파인
$21,865 거래량
96%
댄 빌저리언
$54,326 거래량
3%
아론 베이커
$17,961 거래량
1%
알렉산드라 반 클리프
$37,857 거래량
<1%
찰스 감바로
$11,618 거래량
<1%
조슈아 바스케스
$10,983 거래량
<1%
Ernest Audino
$19,148 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine's position as the incumbent Republican representative, following his 2025 special election victory, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the August 18, 2026, primary in Florida's 6th Congressional District. His substantial fundraising lead, endorsements from President Trump and local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have constrained challengers including Dan Bilzerian and Aaron Baker. The solidly Republican district and Fine's early organizational edge further reinforce this outlook. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected surges in challenger visibility could still alter probabilities before primary voting concludes.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
거래량
$173,758종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine's position as the incumbent Republican representative, following his 2025 special election victory, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the August 18, 2026, primary in Florida's 6th Congressional District. His substantial fundraising lead, endorsements from President Trump and local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have constrained challengers including Dan Bilzerian and Aaron Baker. The solidly Republican district and Fine's early organizational edge further reinforce this outlook. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected surges in challenger visibility could still alter probabilities before primary voting concludes.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$173,758종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Randy Fine's position as the incumbent Republican representative, following his 2025 special election victory, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the August 18, 2026, primary in Florida's 6th Congressional District. His substantial fundraising lead, endorsements from President Trump and local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have constrained challengers including Dan Bilzerian and Aaron Baker. The solidly Republican district and Fine's early organizational edge further reinforce this outlook. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected surges in challenger visibility could still alter probabilities before primary voting concludes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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