Former Maine Governor Paul LePage maintains a commanding lead in the June 9, 2026, Republican primary for the state’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting his established name recognition, prior statewide electoral success, and substantial fundraising advantage. James Clark, the only other candidate to file, withdrew months ago, leaving LePage as the sole Republican on the ballot. Traders assign near-certainty to LePage based on these structural factors and the absence of viable opposition in the final weeks before voting. Late developments such as a surprise re-entry or unforeseen legal issue remain the only realistic paths to altering the outcome, though none have materialized.