Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win South Carolina's Republican Senate primary on June 9, 2026, bolstered by his fundraising edge, Trump endorsement, and fragmented challenger field following the March 30 filing deadline that drew over a dozen candidates. Mark Lynch surged to 11.6% after Paul Dans, former Project 2025 director, withdrew on April 10 and endorsed him, consolidating some right-flank opposition amid criticism of Graham's bipartisan votes. With no candidate polling near a majority, a runoff looms if Graham falls short of 50% plus one, but traders anticipate his organizational strength prevailing; polls show him around 49%, underscoring the crowded primary dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트린지 그레이엄 84%
마크 린치 10.5%
폴 단스 2.1%
토마스 머피 <1%
$100,410 거래량
$100,410 거래량
2026.07.31
린지 그레이엄
84%
마크 린치
11%
폴 단스
2%
토마스 머피
<1%
린지 그레이엄 84%
마크 린치 10.5%
폴 단스 2.1%
토마스 머피 <1%
$100,410 거래량
$100,410 거래량
2026.07.31
린지 그레이엄
$33,176 거래량
84%
마크 린치
$8,810 거래량
11%
폴 단스
$43,313 거래량
2%
토마스 머피
$15,111 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win South Carolina's Republican Senate primary on June 9, 2026, bolstered by his fundraising edge, Trump endorsement, and fragmented challenger field following the March 30 filing deadline that drew over a dozen candidates. Mark Lynch surged to 11.6% after Paul Dans, former Project 2025 director, withdrew on April 10 and endorsed him, consolidating some right-flank opposition amid criticism of Graham's bipartisan votes. With no candidate polling near a majority, a runoff looms if Graham falls short of 50% plus one, but traders anticipate his organizational strength prevailing; polls show him around 49%, underscoring the crowded primary dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
거래량
$100,410종료일
2026.06.09마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win South Carolina's Republican Senate primary on June 9, 2026, bolstered by his fundraising edge, Trump endorsement, and fragmented challenger field following the March 30 filing deadline that drew over a dozen candidates. Mark Lynch surged to 11.6% after Paul Dans, former Project 2025 director, withdrew on April 10 and endorsed him, consolidating some right-flank opposition amid criticism of Graham's bipartisan votes. With no candidate polling near a majority, a runoff looms if Graham falls short of 50% plus one, but traders anticipate his organizational strength prevailing; polls show him around 49%, underscoring the crowded primary dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$100,410종료일
2026.06.09마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win South Carolina's Republican Senate primary on June 9, 2026, bolstered by his fundraising edge, Trump endorsement, and fragmented challenger field following the March 30 filing deadline that drew over a dozen candidates. Mark Lynch surged to 11.6% after Paul Dans, former Project 2025 director, withdrew on April 10 and endorsed him, consolidating some right-flank opposition amid criticism of Graham's bipartisan votes. With no candidate polling near a majority, a runoff looms if Graham falls short of 50% plus one, but traders anticipate his organizational strength prevailing; polls show him around 49%, underscoring the crowded primary dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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