The retirement of longtime Rep. Mark Amodei opened Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District for a crowded June 9 Republican primary featuring 13 candidates. David Flippo and James Settelmeyer hold the narrowest leads in trader pricing due to their contrasting profiles—Flippo’s military background and Trump alignment versus Settelmeyer’s deep Northern Nevada legislative and ranching ties—while the remaining field splits support among local officials, veterans, and business figures. No single candidate has consolidated endorsements or polling dominance in the safe Republican district, keeping probabilities tightly clustered near 45 percent. The June primary date and multi-candidate ballot structure remain the main factors sustaining this balance until voters begin consolidating behind fewer contenders.