Mark Lamb holds a dominant position in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages in name recognition and organizational support as the July 21, 2026, vote nears. His prior service as Pinal County sheriff, 2024 Senate bid, and endorsement from President Trump have consolidated backing in this solidly Republican East Valley district, where the nominee faces minimal general-election risk. Recent developments include Lamb's cease-and-desist action against remaining opponent Daniel Keenan and stronger individual-donor fundraising compared with self-funded rivals. Lower odds for Jay Feely and Travis Grantham align with their reduced visibility and shifts to other races, while the compressed timeline limits opportunities for challengers to close the gap ahead of primary voting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트마크 램 84.4%
Jay Feely 2.8%
트래비스 그랜섬 2.7%
$48,562 거래량
$48,562 거래량
2026.08.04
마크 램
80%
Jay Feely
8%
트래비스 그랜섬
3%
마크 램 84.4%
Jay Feely 2.8%
트래비스 그랜섬 2.7%
$48,562 거래량
$48,562 거래량
2026.08.04
마크 램
$5,056 거래량
80%
Jay Feely
$42,126 거래량
8%
트래비스 그랜섬
$1,380 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb holds a dominant position in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages in name recognition and organizational support as the July 21, 2026, vote nears. His prior service as Pinal County sheriff, 2024 Senate bid, and endorsement from President Trump have consolidated backing in this solidly Republican East Valley district, where the nominee faces minimal general-election risk. Recent developments include Lamb's cease-and-desist action against remaining opponent Daniel Keenan and stronger individual-donor fundraising compared with self-funded rivals. Lower odds for Jay Feely and Travis Grantham align with their reduced visibility and shifts to other races, while the compressed timeline limits opportunities for challengers to close the gap ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
거래량
$48,562종료일
2026.08.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb holds a dominant position in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages in name recognition and organizational support as the July 21, 2026, vote nears. His prior service as Pinal County sheriff, 2024 Senate bid, and endorsement from President Trump have consolidated backing in this solidly Republican East Valley district, where the nominee faces minimal general-election risk. Recent developments include Lamb's cease-and-desist action against remaining opponent Daniel Keenan and stronger individual-donor fundraising compared with self-funded rivals. Lower odds for Jay Feely and Travis Grantham align with their reduced visibility and shifts to other races, while the compressed timeline limits opportunities for challengers to close the gap ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$48,562종료일
2026.08.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb holds a dominant position in the Arizona 5th Congressional District Republican primary, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages in name recognition and organizational support as the July 21, 2026, vote nears. His prior service as Pinal County sheriff, 2024 Senate bid, and endorsement from President Trump have consolidated backing in this solidly Republican East Valley district, where the nominee faces minimal general-election risk. Recent developments include Lamb's cease-and-desist action against remaining opponent Daniel Keenan and stronger individual-donor fundraising compared with self-funded rivals. Lower odds for Jay Feely and Travis Grantham align with their reduced visibility and shifts to other races, while the compressed timeline limits opportunities for challengers to close the gap ahead of primary voting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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