Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Historic Pact senator Iván Cepeda Castro to claim the most votes in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, reflecting his consistent 37-38% leads in recent polls like AtlasIntel (April 6-9) and CNC surveys, widened by a fragmented right-wing field split between Abelardo de la Espriella (27%) and Paloma Valencia (23%). Post-March 8 legislative elections, where Cepeda's left-wing coalition maintained congressional strength amid President Petro's approval rebound, have solidified his frontrunner status despite no outright majority path. Challenges could arise from opposition consolidation via endorsement, a major scandal, or undecided voter shifts in the final six weeks before the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트이반 세페다 카스트로 94%
아벨라르도 데 라 에스프리에야 3.1%
팔로마 발렌시아 1.0%
클라우디아 로페스 <1%
$2,649,931 거래량
$2,649,931 거래량
2026.05.31
이반 세페다 카스트로
94%
아벨라르도 데 라 에스프리에야
3%
팔로마 발렌시아
1%
클라우디아 로페스
<1%
헤르만 바르가스 예라스
<1%
로이 바레라스
<1%
다니엘 킨테로
<1%
마우리시오 카르데나스
<1%
엔리케 페냐로사
<1%
비키 다빌라
<1%
루이스 힐베르토 무리요
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
후안 다니엘 오비에도
<1%
구스타보 볼리바르
<1%
세르히오 파하르도
<1%
후안 마누엘 갈란
<1%
후안 카를로스 핀손
<1%
이반 세페다 카스트로 94%
아벨라르도 데 라 에스프리에야 3.1%
팔로마 발렌시아 1.0%
클라우디아 로페스 <1%
$2,649,931 거래량
$2,649,931 거래량
2026.05.31
이반 세페다 카스트로
$146,806 거래량
94%
아벨라르도 데 라 에스프리에야
$542,721 거래량
3%
팔로마 발렌시아
$282,331 거래량
1%
클라우디아 로페스
$103,957 거래량
<1%
헤르만 바르가스 예라스
$87,200 거래량
<1%
로이 바레라스
$119,719 거래량
<1%
다니엘 킨테로
$65,959 거래량
<1%
마우리시오 카르데나스
$67,441 거래량
<1%
엔리케 페냐로사
$65,075 거래량
<1%
비키 다빌라
$282,631 거래량
<1%
루이스 힐베르토 무리요
$133,861 거래량
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
$198,131 거래량
<1%
후안 다니엘 오비에도
$87,837 거래량
<1%
구스타보 볼리바르
$122,586 거래량
<1%
세르히오 파하르도
$104,666 거래량
<1%
후안 마누엘 갈란
$124,039 거래량
<1%
후안 카를로스 핀손
$78,469 거래량
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Historic Pact senator Iván Cepeda Castro to claim the most votes in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, reflecting his consistent 37-38% leads in recent polls like AtlasIntel (April 6-9) and CNC surveys, widened by a fragmented right-wing field split between Abelardo de la Espriella (27%) and Paloma Valencia (23%). Post-March 8 legislative elections, where Cepeda's left-wing coalition maintained congressional strength amid President Petro's approval rebound, have solidified his frontrunner status despite no outright majority path. Challenges could arise from opposition consolidation via endorsement, a major scandal, or undecided voter shifts in the final six weeks before the vote.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET
거래량
$2,649,931종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Historic Pact senator Iván Cepeda Castro to claim the most votes in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, reflecting his consistent 37-38% leads in recent polls like AtlasIntel (April 6-9) and CNC surveys, widened by a fragmented right-wing field split between Abelardo de la Espriella (27%) and Paloma Valencia (23%). Post-March 8 legislative elections, where Cepeda's left-wing coalition maintained congressional strength amid President Petro's approval rebound, have solidified his frontrunner status despite no outright majority path. Challenges could arise from opposition consolidation via endorsement, a major scandal, or undecided voter shifts in the final six weeks before the vote.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
거래량
$2,649,931종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Historic Pact senator Iván Cepeda Castro to claim the most votes in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, reflecting his consistent 37-38% leads in recent polls like AtlasIntel (April 6-9) and CNC surveys, widened by a fragmented right-wing field split between Abelardo de la Espriella (27%) and Paloma Valencia (23%). Post-March 8 legislative elections, where Cepeda's left-wing coalition maintained congressional strength amid President Petro's approval rebound, have solidified his frontrunner status despite no outright majority path. Challenges could arise from opposition consolidation via endorsement, a major scandal, or undecided voter shifts in the final six weeks before the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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