Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors People Power Party lawmaker Choo Kyung-ho at 75.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Daegu mayoral election, reflecting the city's entrenched status as a conservative stronghold where the main opposition PPP has dominated local races historically, including 2022 incumbent Hong Joon-pyo's victory. Recent opinion polls show a razor-thin contest, with a May 13 survey indicating Democratic Party candidate and former Prime Minister Kim Boo-kyum at 44% to Choo's 41% within margin of error, and a JTBC May 7 poll at 40%-41%; however, traders anticipate PPP base consolidation and high conservative turnout amid reported street-level resistance to the ruling party's bid. Candidate registrations closed May 14 without major independents emerging, leaving minor contenders at negligible odds. Late scandals or turnout swings could shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Choo Kyung-ho 76%
Kim Boo-kyum 25%
Seo Jae-heon <1%
Lee Jin-sook <1%
$624,410 거래량
$624,410 거래량
Choo Kyung-ho
76%
Kim Boo-kyum
25%
Seo Jae-heon
<1%
Lee Jin-sook
<1%
Yoon Jae-ok
<1%
Kang Min-gu
<1%
Hong Seok-jun
<1%
Joo Ho-young
<1%
Yoo Young-ha
<1%
Choi Eun-seok
<1%
Lee Jae-man
<1%
Kim Han-koo
<1%
Choo Kyung-ho 76%
Kim Boo-kyum 25%
Seo Jae-heon <1%
Lee Jin-sook <1%
$624,410 거래량
$624,410 거래량
Choo Kyung-ho
76%
Kim Boo-kyum
25%
Seo Jae-heon
<1%
Lee Jin-sook
<1%
Yoon Jae-ok
<1%
Kang Min-gu
<1%
Hong Seok-jun
<1%
Joo Ho-young
<1%
Yoo Young-ha
<1%
Choi Eun-seok
<1%
Lee Jae-man
<1%
Kim Han-koo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
마켓 개설일: Apr 23, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors People Power Party lawmaker Choo Kyung-ho at 75.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Daegu mayoral election, reflecting the city's entrenched status as a conservative stronghold where the main opposition PPP has dominated local races historically, including 2022 incumbent Hong Joon-pyo's victory. Recent opinion polls show a razor-thin contest, with a May 13 survey indicating Democratic Party candidate and former Prime Minister Kim Boo-kyum at 44% to Choo's 41% within margin of error, and a JTBC May 7 poll at 40%-41%; however, traders anticipate PPP base consolidation and high conservative turnout amid reported street-level resistance to the ruling party's bid. Candidate registrations closed May 14 without major independents emerging, leaving minor contenders at negligible odds. Late scandals or turnout swings could shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문