A recent Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos poll underscores the tight Dublin Central by-election race ahead of May 22 polling, with Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan leading first preferences at 21%, Social Democrats' Daniel Ennis at 18%, and independent Gerry Hutch at 14%, yet traders heavily favor Ennis at 68.5% implied probability, anticipating his strong position for PR-STV transfers from eliminated lower-order candidates. Boylan's lead reflects Sinn Féin's urban appeal despite her recent rowback on controversial fluoride comments linking it to dental issues, while Ennis benefits from Social Democrats' momentum amid scrutiny over a past company secretary role tied to a fined director—though no declaration was required. Hutch garners notoriety-driven support at 7.4%, but government parties like Fine Gael's Ray McAdam lag below 2%, highlighting anti-incumbent sentiment in this Dáil vacancy contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트다니엘 에니스 69%
재니스 보일런 23.1%
게리 허치 7.4%
레이 맥아담 1.7%
$1,084,691 거래량
$1,084,691 거래량
다니엘 에니스
69%
재니스 보일런
23%
게리 허치
7%
레이 맥아담
2%
자넷 호너
1%
말라키 스틴슨
1%
길리언 셰럿
1%
Ian Noel Smyth
1%
메리 피츠패트릭
<1%
에오언 오 캐너반
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
<1%
존 스티븐스
<1%
다니엘 에니스 69%
재니스 보일런 23.1%
게리 허치 7.4%
레이 맥아담 1.7%
$1,084,691 거래량
$1,084,691 거래량
다니엘 에니스
69%
재니스 보일런
23%
게리 허치
7%
레이 맥아담
2%
자넷 호너
1%
말라키 스틴슨
1%
길리언 셰럿
1%
Ian Noel Smyth
1%
메리 피츠패트릭
<1%
에오언 오 캐너반
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
<1%
존 스티븐스
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A recent Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos poll underscores the tight Dublin Central by-election race ahead of May 22 polling, with Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan leading first preferences at 21%, Social Democrats' Daniel Ennis at 18%, and independent Gerry Hutch at 14%, yet traders heavily favor Ennis at 68.5% implied probability, anticipating his strong position for PR-STV transfers from eliminated lower-order candidates. Boylan's lead reflects Sinn Féin's urban appeal despite her recent rowback on controversial fluoride comments linking it to dental issues, while Ennis benefits from Social Democrats' momentum amid scrutiny over a past company secretary role tied to a fined director—though no declaration was required. Hutch garners notoriety-driven support at 7.4%, but government parties like Fine Gael's Ray McAdam lag below 2%, highlighting anti-incumbent sentiment in this Dáil vacancy contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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