Mike Bouchard leads trader consensus in the Michigan’s 10th Congressional District Republican primary due to his established name recognition as the son of longtime Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, recent military service in Iraq, and a clear fundraising advantage that reached more than $426,000 in the first quarter. These factors have secured endorsements from local Republican officials and donors, strengthening his position among likely primary voters ahead of the August 4 contest. Robert Lulgjuraj, a former prosecutor emphasizing law-and-order themes, holds second place but faces ongoing eligibility challenges over residency and petition signatures that could limit his ballot access and momentum. Lower-polling candidates Steven Elliott, Casey Armitage, and Justin Kirk trail with limited visibility and resources, leaving the race centered on the top two amid substantial undecided voters in available surveys.