The Democratic nominee leads the Republican incumbent in recent general election polling averages, reflecting the impact of Maine’s Democratic primary dynamics on the November contest. Graham Platner secured the nomination after former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign, allowing the oyster farmer and veteran to consolidate support among progressive and independent voters ahead of the June 9 primary. Incumbent Susan Collins remains unopposed on the Republican side but faces an electorate where recent surveys show the Democratic challenger ahead by single digits in head-to-head matchups. Traders view these polling trends and the absence of a stronger Republican alternative as the primary drivers behind the current implied probabilities for a Democratic victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$257,615 거래량
$257,615 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
73%
공화당
28%
$257,615 거래량
$257,615 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$157,451 거래량
73%
공화당
$100,164 거래량
28%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Democratic nominee leads the Republican incumbent in recent general election polling averages, reflecting the impact of Maine’s Democratic primary dynamics on the November contest. Graham Platner secured the nomination after former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign, allowing the oyster farmer and veteran to consolidate support among progressive and independent voters ahead of the June 9 primary. Incumbent Susan Collins remains unopposed on the Republican side but faces an electorate where recent surveys show the Democratic challenger ahead by single digits in head-to-head matchups. Traders view these polling trends and the absence of a stronger Republican alternative as the primary drivers behind the current implied probabilities for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$257,615종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Democratic nominee leads the Republican incumbent in recent general election polling averages, reflecting the impact of Maine’s Democratic primary dynamics on the November contest. Graham Platner secured the nomination after former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign, allowing the oyster farmer and veteran to consolidate support among progressive and independent voters ahead of the June 9 primary. Incumbent Susan Collins remains unopposed on the Republican side but faces an electorate where recent surveys show the Democratic challenger ahead by single digits in head-to-head matchups. Traders view these polling trends and the absence of a stronger Republican alternative as the primary drivers behind the current implied probabilities for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$257,615종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee leads the Republican incumbent in recent general election polling averages, reflecting the impact of Maine’s Democratic primary dynamics on the November contest. Graham Platner secured the nomination after former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign, allowing the oyster farmer and veteran to consolidate support among progressive and independent voters ahead of the June 9 primary. Incumbent Susan Collins remains unopposed on the Republican side but faces an electorate where recent surveys show the Democratic challenger ahead by single digits in head-to-head matchups. Traders view these polling trends and the absence of a stronger Republican alternative as the primary drivers behind the current implied probabilities for a Democratic victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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