Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 6–9 points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with Maine’s recent Democratic tilt in presidential voting. Janet Mills’ withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April has consolidated support behind Platner ahead of the June 9 primary. Traders appear to view these trends, combined with Collins’ reliance on cross-party support in a state without a Republican Senate incumbent advantage, as tilting the November outcome toward the Democrat. The market’s 75.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner reflects this polling consensus while leaving room for shifts from primary results or campaign developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$280,073 거래량
$280,073 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
76%
공화당
26%
$280,073 거래량
$280,073 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$175,529 거래량
76%
공화당
$104,544 거래량
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 6–9 points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with Maine’s recent Democratic tilt in presidential voting. Janet Mills’ withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April has consolidated support behind Platner ahead of the June 9 primary. Traders appear to view these trends, combined with Collins’ reliance on cross-party support in a state without a Republican Senate incumbent advantage, as tilting the November outcome toward the Democrat. The market’s 75.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner reflects this polling consensus while leaving room for shifts from primary results or campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$280,073종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 6–9 points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with Maine’s recent Democratic tilt in presidential voting. Janet Mills’ withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April has consolidated support behind Platner ahead of the June 9 primary. Traders appear to view these trends, combined with Collins’ reliance on cross-party support in a state without a Republican Senate incumbent advantage, as tilting the November outcome toward the Democrat. The market’s 75.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner reflects this polling consensus while leaving room for shifts from primary results or campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$280,073종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 6–9 points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with Maine’s recent Democratic tilt in presidential voting. Janet Mills’ withdrawal from the Democratic primary in late April has consolidated support behind Platner ahead of the June 9 primary. Traders appear to view these trends, combined with Collins’ reliance on cross-party support in a state without a Republican Senate incumbent advantage, as tilting the November outcome toward the Democrat. The market’s 75.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner reflects this polling consensus while leaving room for shifts from primary results or campaign developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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