Incumbent Republican Susan Collins faces a consolidated Democratic challenge from presumptive nominee Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Senate race, with the June 9 primary now imminent after Janet Mills withdrew in late April. Recent general election polls show Platner holding modest leads or near-ties against the long-serving moderate, reflecting Maine's Democratic tilt in presidential voting and limited cross-party support for Collins. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 75.5% versus 25% for Republican, consistent with the wisdom of crowds assessing path-to-victory dynamics, primary resolution, and historical incumbent vulnerabilities in the state ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$280,132 거래량
$280,132 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
76%
공화당
25%
$280,132 거래량
$280,132 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$175,556 거래량
76%
공화당
$104,576 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Susan Collins faces a consolidated Democratic challenge from presumptive nominee Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Senate race, with the June 9 primary now imminent after Janet Mills withdrew in late April. Recent general election polls show Platner holding modest leads or near-ties against the long-serving moderate, reflecting Maine's Democratic tilt in presidential voting and limited cross-party support for Collins. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 75.5% versus 25% for Republican, consistent with the wisdom of crowds assessing path-to-victory dynamics, primary resolution, and historical incumbent vulnerabilities in the state ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$280,132종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Susan Collins faces a consolidated Democratic challenge from presumptive nominee Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Senate race, with the June 9 primary now imminent after Janet Mills withdrew in late April. Recent general election polls show Platner holding modest leads or near-ties against the long-serving moderate, reflecting Maine's Democratic tilt in presidential voting and limited cross-party support for Collins. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 75.5% versus 25% for Republican, consistent with the wisdom of crowds assessing path-to-victory dynamics, primary resolution, and historical incumbent vulnerabilities in the state ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$280,132종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Susan Collins faces a consolidated Democratic challenge from presumptive nominee Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Senate race, with the June 9 primary now imminent after Janet Mills withdrew in late April. Recent general election polls show Platner holding modest leads or near-ties against the long-serving moderate, reflecting Maine's Democratic tilt in presidential voting and limited cross-party support for Collins. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 75.5% versus 25% for Republican, consistent with the wisdom of crowds assessing path-to-victory dynamics, primary resolution, and historical incumbent vulnerabilities in the state ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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