Republican nominee Ashley Hinson holds a clear edge in Iowa’s open Senate race, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican tilt in federal contests and her strong fundraising and establishment support ahead of the June primaries. Recent general-election polling shows narrow hypothetical matchups against leading Democrats Zach Wahls or Josh Turek, yet trader pricing at 63 percent for the GOP nominee incorporates Iowa’s structural advantages, including past Senate results and midterm patterns favoring the party out of the White House. The Democratic primary on June 2 introduces some uncertainty, but neither challenger has yet demonstrated the broad appeal needed to overcome the state’s partisan baseline before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$116,546 거래량
$116,546 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
63%
민주당
38%
$116,546 거래량
$116,546 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$53,407 거래량
63%
민주당
$63,139 거래량
38%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Ashley Hinson holds a clear edge in Iowa’s open Senate race, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican tilt in federal contests and her strong fundraising and establishment support ahead of the June primaries. Recent general-election polling shows narrow hypothetical matchups against leading Democrats Zach Wahls or Josh Turek, yet trader pricing at 63 percent for the GOP nominee incorporates Iowa’s structural advantages, including past Senate results and midterm patterns favoring the party out of the White House. The Democratic primary on June 2 introduces some uncertainty, but neither challenger has yet demonstrated the broad appeal needed to overcome the state’s partisan baseline before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
거래량
$116,546종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Ashley Hinson holds a clear edge in Iowa’s open Senate race, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican tilt in federal contests and her strong fundraising and establishment support ahead of the June primaries. Recent general-election polling shows narrow hypothetical matchups against leading Democrats Zach Wahls or Josh Turek, yet trader pricing at 63 percent for the GOP nominee incorporates Iowa’s structural advantages, including past Senate results and midterm patterns favoring the party out of the White House. The Democratic primary on June 2 introduces some uncertainty, but neither challenger has yet demonstrated the broad appeal needed to overcome the state’s partisan baseline before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$116,546종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Ashley Hinson holds a clear edge in Iowa’s open Senate race, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican tilt in federal contests and her strong fundraising and establishment support ahead of the June primaries. Recent general-election polling shows narrow hypothetical matchups against leading Democrats Zach Wahls or Josh Turek, yet trader pricing at 63 percent for the GOP nominee incorporates Iowa’s structural advantages, including past Senate results and midterm patterns favoring the party out of the White House. The Democratic primary on June 2 introduces some uncertainty, but neither challenger has yet demonstrated the broad appeal needed to overcome the state’s partisan baseline before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문