The Democratic vice presidential nominee for 2028 field remains wide open, with trader consensus showing Zohran Mamdani at 17.1% and the next several names clustered between 12.5% and 4%, underscoring that no candidate has consolidated support this early in the cycle. Selection of the running mate will hinge on the eventual presidential nominee, party coalition dynamics, and state-level strengths needed for Electoral College balance, keeping probabilities fragmented across progressives, moderates, governors, senators, and high-profile outsiders. Absent major developments in the past 30 days, the current pricing reflects broad uncertainty ahead of primaries, midterms, and any shifts in polling averages or endorsements that could create clearer separation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Zohran Mamdani 17.0%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10%
Gretchen Whitmer 9.0%
Chelsea Clinton 7.4%
$24,466 거래량
$24,466 거래량
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
7%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
6%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
4%
Mark Kelly
7%
Rahm Emanuel
7%
Gina Raimondo
6%
Zohran Mamdani
17%
Roy Cooper
5%
John Fetterman
3%
Jared Polis
1%
Jon Stewart
7%
Barack Obama
5%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
1%
Bernie Sanders
1%
Phil Murphy
1%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
3%
George Clooney
18%
Chelsea Clinton
7%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Chris Murphy
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
12%
James Talarico
2%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
Zohran Mamdani 17.0%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10%
Gretchen Whitmer 9.0%
Chelsea Clinton 7.4%
$24,466 거래량
$24,466 거래량
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
7%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
6%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
4%
Mark Kelly
7%
Rahm Emanuel
7%
Gina Raimondo
6%
Zohran Mamdani
17%
Roy Cooper
5%
John Fetterman
3%
Jared Polis
1%
Jon Stewart
7%
Barack Obama
5%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
1%
Bernie Sanders
1%
Phil Murphy
1%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
3%
George Clooney
18%
Chelsea Clinton
7%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Chris Murphy
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
12%
James Talarico
2%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic vice presidential nominee for 2028 field remains wide open, with trader consensus showing Zohran Mamdani at 17.1% and the next several names clustered between 12.5% and 4%, underscoring that no candidate has consolidated support this early in the cycle. Selection of the running mate will hinge on the eventual presidential nominee, party coalition dynamics, and state-level strengths needed for Electoral College balance, keeping probabilities fragmented across progressives, moderates, governors, senators, and high-profile outsiders. Absent major developments in the past 30 days, the current pricing reflects broad uncertainty ahead of primaries, midterms, and any shifts in polling averages or endorsements that could create clearer separation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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