Trader consensus favors James Talarico at 10% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination, propelled by his March primary victory in the competitive Texas Senate race and eye-popping $27 million fundraising quarter reported April 15, signaling breakout potential in a red state. Tightly clustered behind at 9.5% are Gavin Newsom, buoyed by his California governorship and early 2028 presidential frontrunner status; Pete Buttigieg, leveraging Transportation Secretary experience; Wes Moore, Maryland's rising governor; and Chelsea Clinton, drawing Clinton dynasty name recognition. Differentiators include executive track records for governors like Andy Beshear (Kentucky appeal) and Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan battleground), versus celebrity star power for George Clooney or Oprah Winfrey. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, especially Talarico's general election, alongside presidential primary dynamics and convention deal-making.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트James Talarico 10%
Gavin Newsom 10%
Pete Buttigieg 10%
Gretchen Whitmer 7%
Gavin Newsom
10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
Pete Buttigieg
10%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Wes Moore
10%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Kamala Harris
5%
Gretchen Whitmer
8%
Andy Beshear
9%
Jon Ossoff
8%
Mark Cuban
7%
J.B. Pritzker
6%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
6%
Tim Walz
5%
Michelle Obama
6%
Mark Kelly
7%
Rahm Emanuel
6%
Gina Raimondo
6%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Roy Cooper
6%
John Fetterman
5%
Jared Polis
6%
Jon Stewart
6%
Barack Obama
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
Liz Cheney
6%
Bernie Sanders
5%
Phil Murphy
6%
LeBron James
4%
Hunter Biden
6%
George Clooney
9%
Chelsea Clinton
9%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
8%
Oprah Winfrey
9%
Andrew Yang
6%
Beto O’Rourke
6%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Chris Murphy
6%
Ruben Gallego
8%
Ro Khanna
6%
James Talarico
10%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
James Talarico 10%
Gavin Newsom 10%
Pete Buttigieg 10%
Gretchen Whitmer 7%
Gavin Newsom
10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
Pete Buttigieg
10%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Wes Moore
10%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Kamala Harris
5%
Gretchen Whitmer
8%
Andy Beshear
9%
Jon Ossoff
8%
Mark Cuban
7%
J.B. Pritzker
6%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
6%
Tim Walz
5%
Michelle Obama
6%
Mark Kelly
7%
Rahm Emanuel
6%
Gina Raimondo
6%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Roy Cooper
6%
John Fetterman
5%
Jared Polis
6%
Jon Stewart
6%
Barack Obama
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
Liz Cheney
6%
Bernie Sanders
5%
Phil Murphy
6%
LeBron James
4%
Hunter Biden
6%
George Clooney
9%
Chelsea Clinton
9%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
8%
Oprah Winfrey
9%
Andrew Yang
6%
Beto O’Rourke
6%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Chris Murphy
6%
Ruben Gallego
8%
Ro Khanna
6%
James Talarico
10%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors James Talarico at 10% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination, propelled by his March primary victory in the competitive Texas Senate race and eye-popping $27 million fundraising quarter reported April 15, signaling breakout potential in a red state. Tightly clustered behind at 9.5% are Gavin Newsom, buoyed by his California governorship and early 2028 presidential frontrunner status; Pete Buttigieg, leveraging Transportation Secretary experience; Wes Moore, Maryland's rising governor; and Chelsea Clinton, drawing Clinton dynasty name recognition. Differentiators include executive track records for governors like Andy Beshear (Kentucky appeal) and Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan battleground), versus celebrity star power for George Clooney or Oprah Winfrey. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, especially Talarico's general election, alongside presidential primary dynamics and convention deal-making.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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