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US Election predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$7M today

$51M Liq.

683

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$568M Vol.

$3M today

$30M Liq.

357

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$540M Vol.

$2M today

$29M Liq.

862

Ends in over 2 years

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

58%

Tom Steyer

$11M Vol.

$190K today

$2M Liq.

32

Ends in 7 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

60%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$51.9K today

$251K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

53%

Democrats Sweep

$5M Vol.

$535K Liq.

151

Ends in 7 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$506K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

55%

Democratic Party

$2M Vol.

$319K Liq.

35

Ends in 7 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

54%

Nithya Raman

$915K Vol.

$183K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

92%

Graham Platner

$3M Vol.

$263K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Newark Mayoral Election

Newark Mayoral Election

96%

Ras Baraka

$18.0K Vol.

$69.4K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

48%

Mallory McMorrow

$433K Vol.

$146K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

26%

Pass 6-9%

$16.0K Vol.

$45.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

84%

$35.9K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

56%

Republican

$178K Vol.

$87.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 7 months

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$316K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

11

Ends in 7 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

Below 190

$206K Vol.

$146K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

85%

Lindsey Graham

$101K Vol.

$56.2K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

25%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$237K Liq.

6

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$780K Liq.

67

Ends in over 2 years

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 149 active markets for US Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Blue wave in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.